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SEVERE TROPICAL STORM FRANCISCO FURTHER INTENSIFIES WHILE MOVING OVER THE PHILIPPINE SEA. Location of eye/center : The center of Severe Tropical Storm FRANCISCO was estimated based on all available data at at 1,315 km East of Southeastern Luzon (14.8, 133.9). Strength : Maximum winds of 100 kph near the centerand gustiness of up to 125 kph. Forecast movement : Forecast to move West Northwestward at 25 kph Forecast position : Jun 21, 2026 02:00 PM - 1,100 km East of Central Luzon Jun 22, 2026 02:00 AM - 820 km East of Northern Luzon Jun 22, 2026 02:00 PM - 590 km East of Tuguegarao City, Cagayan Jun 23, 2026 02:00 AM - 440 km East of Aparri, Cagayan Jun 23, 2026 02:00 PM - 350 km East of Calayan, Cagayan Jun 24, 2026 02:00 AM - 300 km East of Calayan, Cagayan Jun 25, 2026 02:00 AM - 225 km East Northeast of Itbayat, Batanes Jun 26, 2026 02:00 AM - 380 km North Northeast of Itbayat, Batanes HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND AREAS Heavy Rainfall Outlook FRANCISCO is less likely to directly affect the weather conditions in the country today. However, onset of heavy rains due to the Southwest Monsoon and FRANCISCO is possible beginning tomorrow (22 June). A Weather Advisory may be issued today in anticipation of the heavy rains over Northern Luzon and some areas in the western portions of Luzon and Visayas. Severe Winds Based on the latest forecast track, Wind Signal No.1 may be hoisted in some localities in Cagayan, Babuyan Islands, and Batanes by tomorrow morning. The Southwest Monsoon will bring strong to gale-force gusts over the following areas (especially in coastal and upland areas exposed to winds): Today: Siquijor, Camiguin, and the southern portions of Davao Oriental, Davao Occidental, and Sarangani. Tomorrow (22 June): Romblon, most of Visayas, Basilan, Sulu, Zamboanga Peninsula, Misamis Occidental, Lanao del Norte, Camiguin, Surigao del Norte, Dinagat Islands, and the southern portion of Davao Oriental. Tuesday (23 June): Batanes, Babuyan Islands, northern portions of Cagayan and Apayao, Pangasinan, Zambales, Bataan, Aurora, most of Southern Luzon and Visayas, Zamboanga Peninsula, Northern Mindanao, Surigao del Norte, Dinagat Islands, Davao Occidental, and Davao Oriental. HAZARDS AFFECTING COASTAL WATERS 24-Hour Sea Condition Outlook Up to moderate seas over the following coastal waters: Up to 2.0 m: The eastern seaboards of Catanduanes, Northern Samar, Eastern Samar, Dinagat Islands, Siargao-Bucas Grande Islands, Surigao del Sur, and Davao Oriental; the eastern and southern seaboards of Davao Occidental. Mariners of motorbancas and similarly sized vessels are advised to take precautionary measures while venturing out to sea and, if possible, avoid navigation under these conditions. Other coastal waters have forecast wave heights of less than 2.0 m. TRACK AND INTENSITY OUTLOOK It must be emphasized that heavy rainfall and severe winds may still be experienced in localities outside the forecast confidence cone. Refer to “Other Hazards affecting Land Areas” for more details. Furthermore, the track may still shift within the limit of the forecast confidence cone. FRANCISCO will likely remain over the Philippine Sea throughout the forecast period. However, a closer approach to Extreme Northern Luzon is not ruled out should the forecast track continue to shift westward. FRANCISCO will move west northwestward until Tuesday (23 June), then it will decelerate as it moves generally northward for the rest of the forecast period. This tropical cyclone will continue to intensify and may reach typhoon category today. As it moves over the Philippine Sea, it will further intensify until it reaches its peak intensity likely by Monday (22 June) or Tuesday. Thereafter, a weakening trend is expected.