A tropical cyclone will affect the locality. Winds of 39-61 kph or intermittent rains may be expected within 36 hours. “AGHON” SLIGHTLY INTENSIFIES OVER THE PHILIPPINE SEA EAST OF AURORA. Location of eye/center : The center of the eye was estimated based on all available data at 105 km East of Baler, Aurora (15.6, 122.6). Strength : Maximum winds of 140 kph near the centerand gustiness of up to 170 kph. Forecast movement : Forecast to move North Northeastward at 10 kph Forecast position : May 27, 2024 02:00 PM - 170 km East Southeast of Tuguegarao City, Cagayan May 28, 2024 02:00 AM - 325 km East of Aparri, Cagayan May 28, 2024 02:00 PM - 560 km East of Itbayat, Batanes May 29, 2024 02:00 AM - 885 km East Northeast of Extreme Northern Luzon May 29, 2024 02:00 PM - 1,215 km East Northeast of Extreme Northern Luzon (OUTSIDE PAR) May 30, 2024 02:00 AM - 1,560 km East Northeast of Extreme Northern Luzon (OUTSIDE PAR) HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND AREAS Heavy Rainfall Outlook Forecast accumulated rainfall: Today 50-100 mm: The eastern portion of Isabela and the northern portion of Aurora Forecast rainfall are generally higher in elevated or mountainous areas. Under these conditions, flooding and rain-induced landslides are possible especially in areas that are highly or very highly susceptible to these hazards as identified in hazard maps and in localities that experienced considerable amounts of rainfall for the past several days Severe Winds The wind signals warn the public of the general wind threat over an area due to the tropical cyclone. Local winds may be slightly stronger/enhanced in coastal and upland/mountainous areas exposed to winds. Winds are less strong in areas sheltered from the prevailing wind direction. Minor to moderate impacts from gale-force winds are possible within any of the localities where Wind Signal No. 2 is hoisted. Minimal to minor impacts from strong winds are possible within any of the areas under Wind Signal No. 1. Coastal Inundation Within the next 24 hours, there is a minimal to moderate risk of storm surge over the exposed and low-lying coastal areas of Cagayan, Isabela, Aurora, and Polillo Islands. For more information, refer to Storm Surge Warning No. 4 issued at 2:00 AM today. HAZARDS AFFECTING COASTAL WATERS Under the influence of AGHON, a Gale Warning is hoisted over the coastal waters of Cagayan (southern portion), Isabela, Aurora, and the northern coastal waters of Quezon including Polillo Islands. Sea travel is risky for small seacrafts, including all motorbancas of any type of tonnage. For more information, refer to Gale Warning No. 4 issued at 5:00 AM today. Outside the Gale Warning areas, AGHON will bring moderate to rough seas (1.5 to 3.0 m) over the eastern coastal waters of Cagayan and the northern coastal waters of Bicol Region. Mariners of motor bancas and similarly-sized vessels are advised to take precautionary measures while venturing out to sea and, if possible, avoid navigating in these conditions, especially if inexperienced or operating ill-equipped vessels. TRACK AND INTENSITY OUTLOOK On the track forecast, Typhoon AGHON will move generally northeastward over the Philippine Sea for the entirety of the forecast period. It may exit the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) on Wednesday afternoon or evening as a typhoon. AGHON will continue to intensify over the next two days as it moves northeastward over the Philippine Sea. A weakening trend may begin on mid or late Wednesday as the typhoon begins interacting with the mid-latitude environment and undergo post-tropical transition.
<p>Considering these developments, the public and disaster risk reduction and management offices concerned are advised to take all necessary measures to protect life and property. Persons living in areas identified to be highly or very highly susceptible to these hazards are advised to follow evacuation and other instructions from local officials. <strong>For heavy rainfall warnings, thunderstorm/rainfall advisories, and other severe weather information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your local PAGASA Regional Services Division.</strong></p>
Under present weather conditions, At 3:00 AM today, the center of the eye of Typhoon "AGHON" {EWINIAR} was estimated based on all available data at 95 km East of Baler, Aurora (15.6°N, 122.5°E) with maximum sustained winds of 140 km/h near the center and gustiness of up to 170 km/h. It is moving North Northeastward at 10 km/h. Southwesterly Windflow affecting the western section of Southern Luzon and Visayas. . The 12-hour rainfall forecast is moderate to occasionally heavy rains amd thunderstorms. WATERCOURSES STILL LIKELY TO BE AFFECTED : + **Quezon** - Rivers and its tributaries particularly Upper Umiray, Lower Bolbok (Lawaya), Malaking-Ilog, Iyam, Macalelon, Catanauan, Silongin Lagda, Pagsanjan, Yabahaan, Bigol, Guinhalinan, Vinas, Calauag, Pandanan, Sta. Lucia, Lugan Malaybalay, Maapon, Bucal (Lalangan), Lakayat, Tignoan, Agos, Anibawan (Polilio Island) and Upper Kilbay - Catabangan. + **Batangas** - Rivers and its tributaries particularly Lian, Banabang-Molino, Pansipit, Kapumpong, Rosario-Lobo and Upper Bolbok (Lawaya). + **Rizal** - Rivers and its tributaries particularly Upper Marikina and Kaliwa. + **Cavite** - Rivers and its tributaries particularly Laboc (Balsahan), Cañas, Ylang-Ylang, Imus, and Maragondon. + **Laguna** - Rivers and its tributaries particularly Pagsanjan, Pila-Sta. Cruz, San Juan and San Cristobal.
People living near the mountain slopes and in the low lying areas of the above mentioned river systems and the **Local Disaster Risk Reduction and Management Councils** concerned still advised to take appropriate actions.
A tropical cyclone will affect the locality. Winds of 39-61 kph or intermittent rains may be expected within 36 hours. TYPHOON “AGHON” CONTINUES TO MOVE NORTHEASTWARD OVER THE PHILIPPINE SEA EAST OF AURORA PROVINCE. Location of eye/center : The center of the eye of Typhoon AGHON was estimated based on all available data including those from Baler and Daet Doppler Weather Radars at over the coastal waters of Casiguran, Aurora (15.8, 122.8). Strength : Maximum winds of 140 kph near the centerand gustiness of up to 170 kph. Forecast movement : Forecast to move North Northeastward at 10 kph Forecast position : May 27, 2024 05:00 PM - 200 km East of Tuguegarao City, Cagayan May 28, 2024 05:00 AM - 1,150 km North Northeast of Extreme Northern Luzon (OUTSIDE PAR) May 28, 2024 05:00 PM - 620 km East of Itbayat, Batanes May 29, 2024 05:00 AM - 950 km East Northeast of Extreme Northern Luzon May 29, 2024 05:00 PM - 1,280 km East Northeast of Extreme Northern Luzon (OUTSIDE PAR) May 30, 2024 05:00 AM - 1,655 km East Northeast of Extreme Northern Luzon (OUTSIDE PAR) HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND AREAS Heavy Rainfall Outlook Forecast accumulated rainfall: Today 50-100 mm: The eastern portion of Isabela and the northern portion of Aurora Forecast rainfall are generally higher in elevated or mountainous areas. Under these conditions, flooding and rain-induced landslides are possible especially in areas that are highly or very highly susceptible to these hazards as identified in hazard maps and in localities that experienced considerable amounts of rainfall for the past several days Severe Winds The wind signals warn the public of the general wind threat over an area due to the tropical cyclone. Local winds may be slightly stronger/enhanced in coastal and upland/mountainous areas exposed to winds. Winds are less strong in areas sheltered from the prevailing wind direction. Minor to moderate impacts from gale-force winds are possible within any of the localities where Wind Signal No. 2 is hoisted. Minimal to minor impacts from strong winds are possible within any of the areas under Wind Signal No. 1. HAZARDS AFFECTING COASTAL WATERS Under the influence of AGHON, a Gale Warning is hoisted over the coastal waters of Cagayan (southern portion), Isabela, Aurora, and the northern coastal waters of Quezon including Polillo Islands. Sea travel is risky for small seacrafts, including all motorbancas of any type of tonnage. For more information, refer to Gale Warning No. 4 issued at 5:00 AM today. Outside the Gale Warning areas, AGHON will bring moderate to rough seas (1.5 to 3.0 m) over the eastern coastal waters of Cagayan and the northern coastal waters of Bicol Region. Mariners of motor bancas and similarly-sized vessels are advised to take precautionary measures while venturing out to sea and, if possible, avoid navigating in these conditions, especially if inexperienced or operating ill-equipped vessels. TRACK AND INTENSITY OUTLOOK On the track forecast, Typhoon AGHON will move generally northeastward over the Philippine Sea for the entirety of the forecast period. It may exit the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) on Wednesday afternoon or evening as a typhoon. AGHON will continue to intensify over the next two days as it moves northeastward over the Philippine Sea. A weakening trend may begin on mid or late Wednesday as the typhoon begins interacting with the mid-latitude environment and undergo post-tropical transition.
<p>Considering these developments, the public and disaster risk reduction and management offices concerned are advised to take all necessary measures to protect life and property. Persons living in areas identified to be highly or very highly susceptible to these hazards are advised to follow evacuation and other instructions from local officials. <strong>For heavy rainfall warnings, thunderstorm/rainfall advisories, and other severe weather information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your local PAGASA Regional Services Division.</strong></p>
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