A tropical cyclone will affect the the locality. Winds of 62 kph up to 88 kph may be expected in at least 24 hours. “TINO” INTENSIFIES INTO A TYPHOON. Location of eye/center : The center of Typhoon TINO was estimated based on all available data including those from Guiuan Doppler Weather Radar at at 285 km East Southeast of Guiuan, Eastern Samar (10.4, 128.3). Strength : Maximum winds of 120 kph near the centerand gustiness of up to 150 kph. Forecast movement : Forecast to move West Southwestward at 25 kph Forecast position : Nov 03, 2025 08:00 PM - Over the coastal waters of Siargao Island Nov 04, 2025 08:00 AM - Over the coastal waters of Asturias, Cebu Nov 04, 2025 08:00 PM - Over the coastal waters of Cuyo Islands Nov 05, 2025 08:00 AM - Over the coastal waters of El Nido, Palawan Nov 05, 2025 08:00 PM - 340 km West of Coron, Palawan Nov 06, 2025 08:00 AM - 645 km West of Coron, Palawan (OUTSIDE PAR) Nov 07, 2025 08:00 AM - 1,245 km West of Central Luzon (OUTSIDE PAR) HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND AREAS Heavy Rainfall Outlook Refer to Weather Advisory No. 8 issued at 11:00 AM today for the heavy rainfall outlook due to the Shear Line and TINO. Severe Winds The wind signals warn the public of the general wind threat over an area due to the tropical cyclone. Local winds may be slightly stronger/enhanced in coastal and upland/mountainous areas exposed to winds. Winds are less strong in areas sheltered from the prevailing wind direction. Moderate to significant impacts from storm-force winds are possible within any of the areas under Wind Signal No 3. Minor to moderate impacts from gale-force winds are possible within any of the localities where Wind Signal No. 2 is hoisted Minimal to minor impacts from strong winds are possible within any of the areas under Wind Signal No. 1. The highest Wind Signal that will likely be hoisted throughout its passage is Wind Signal No. 4. Furthermore the surge of the Northeast Monsoon coinciding with the passage of TINO will also bring strong to gale-force gusts over the following areas not under Wind Signal (especially in coastal and upland areas exposed to winds): Today: Cagayan Valley, Cordillera Administrative Region, Ilocos Norte, Aurora, Bulacan, Nueva Ecija, Bataan, Metro Manila, CALABARZON, MIMAROPA, and Bicol Region. Tomorrow (04 November): Cagayan Valley, Cordillera Administrative Region, Ilocos Norte, Ilocos Sur, Central Luzon, Metro Manila, CALABARZON, MIMAROPA, and Bicol Region. Wednesday (05 November): Ilocos Region, most of Cagayan Valley, most of Cordillera Administrative Region, Central Luzon, Metro Manila, CALABARZON, and MIMAROPA. Coastal Flooding There is a high risk of life-threatening and damaging storm surge with peak heights exceeding 3.0 m within the next 48 hours over the low-lying or exposed coastal communities of Sorsogon, Masbate, Romblon, Oriental Mindoro, Occidental Mindoro, Palawan, Visayas, Dinagat Islands, Surigao del Norte, Surigao del Sur, Agusan del Norte, Misamis Oriental, and Camiguin. Refer to Storm Surge Warning No. 4 issued at 8:00 AM today for more details. HAZARDS AFFECTING COASTAL WATERS A Gale Warning is in effect over the eastern seaboards of Visayas and Mindanao, and the eastern and southern seaboards of Southern Luzon. Refer to Gale Warning No. 2 issued at 5:00 AM today. 24-Hour Sea Condition Outlook Up to very rough to high over the following coastal waters: Up to 9.0 m: The eastern seaboard of Dinagat Islands; the northern and eastern seaboards of Siargao and Bucas Grande Islands. Up to 8.0 m: The eastern seaboard of Eastern Samar Up to 7.0 m: The remaining seaboard of Eastern Samar; the southern seaboard of Samar; the eastern seaboard of Leyte. Up to 6.0 m: The western seaboard of Leyte, the eastern seaboards of northern and central Cebu, the northern seaboard of Bohol. Up to 5.0 m: The northern seaboards of Negros Occidental; the eastern seaboards of Northern Samar, northern Iloilo, and Southern Leyte; the southern seaboard of Masbate; the western seaboard of Dinagat Islands. Up to 4.5 m: The seaboards of Romblon, Cuyo Islands, and Surigao del Sur; the northern and eastern seaboards of Catanduanes; the northern seaboard of Northern Samar; the eastern seaboards of Albay and Sorsogon; the southern seaboard of Oriental Mindoro; the remaining seaboards of Masbate, Visayas and Caraga Region. Sea travel is risky for all types or tonnage of vessels. All mariners must remain in port or, if underway, seek shelter or safe harbor as soon as possible until winds and waves subside. Up to rough seas over the following coastal waters: Up to 4.0 m: The seaboards of Batanes, Babuyan Islands, Ilocos Norte, Ilocos Sur, Isabela, Aurora, northern mainland Quezon, and Camarines Norte; the northern and eastern seaboard of Polillo Islands; the northern seaboard of Camarines Sur; the eastern seaboard of mainland Cagayan. Up to 3.5 m: The remaining seaboard of mainland Cagayan. Up to 3.0 m: The seaboard of La Union, Marinduque, Northern Mindanao, and Davao Oriental; the eastern seaboard of Oriental Mindoro; the western seaboard of Pangasinan; the remaining seaboard of Bicol Region and Quezon. Mariners of small seacrafts, including all types of motorbancas, are advised not to venture out to sea under these conditions, especially if inexperienced of operating ill-equipped vessels. Up to moderate seas over the following coastal waters: Up to 2.5 m: The seaboard of northern Palawan including Calamian Islands and Davao Occidental; the western and southern seaboards of Occidental Mindoro. Up to 2.0 m: The seaboard of Zambales and Zamboanga del Norte; the western seaboard of Bataan; the seaboard of Batangas; the remaining seaboards of Pangasinan, Occidental Mindoro, and Oriental Mindoro. Mariners of motorbancas and similarly sized vessels are advised to take precautionary measures while venturing out to sea and, if possible, avoid navigation under these conditions. TRACK AND INTENSITY OUTLOOK Heavy rainfall, severe winds, and storm surge may still be experienced in localities outside the landfall point and the forecast confidence cone. Refer to hoisted Wind Signals and the “Other Hazards affecting Land Areas” section for more details. Furthermore, the track may still shift within the limit of the forecast confidence cone. On the track forecast, TINO will move generally westward and may make its initial landfall over the vicinity of the southern portion of Eastern Samar, Leyte, Southern Leyte, or Dinagat Islands tonight or tomorrow (04 November) early morning. Afterwards, TINO will traverse Visayas and northern Palawan before emerging over the West Philippine Sea on Wednesday (05 November) afternoon. TINO is forecast make its initial landfall at or near peak intensity (currently forecasted around 150-165 km/h maximum winds with higher gustiness). Rapid intensification within the next 24 hours is likely. The possibility of reaching super typhoon category is not ruled out based on alternate scenarios and climatological data. While its interaction with the terrain will trigger a slight weakening, TINO is expected to remain as a typhoon throughout its passage over the country.
Considering these developments, the public and disaster risk reduction and management offices concerned are advised to take all necessary measures to protect life and property. Persons living in areas identified to be highly or very highly susceptible to these hazards are advised to follow evacuation and other instructions from local officials. For heavy rainfall warnings, thunderstorm/rainfall advisories, and other severe weather information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your local PAGASA Regional Services Division.
Under present weather conditions, At 3:00 AM today, the center of Severe Tropical Storm "TINO" {KALMAEGI} was estimated based on all available data at 440 km East of Guiuan, Eastern Samar (10.9°N, 129.8°E) with maximum sustained winds of 110 km/h near the center and gustiness of up to 135 km/h. It is moving West southwestward at 30 km/h. Shear Line affecting the eastern sections of Northern and Central Luzon. Northeast Monsoon affecting the rest of Northern Luzon. The 12-hour rainfall forecast is moderate to occasionally heavy rains. WATERCOURSES LIKELY TO BE AFFECTED : + **Aklan** - Rivers and its tributaries particularly Ibajay, Aklan and Jalo. + **Guimaras** - All rivers and its tributaries + **Antique** - Rivers and its tributaries particularly Sibalom, Ipayo, Cagaranan, Palawan, Cairauan, Dalanas and Tibiao. + **Capiz** - Rivers and its tributaries particularly Panay, Mambusao, Panay Malinao, Alingon and Balantian. + **Negros Occidental** - Rivers and its tributaries particularly Malogo, Sicaba, Grande, Himogaan, Danao, Upper Tabanan, Sipalay and Lower Ilog. + **Iloilo** - Rivers and its tributaries particularly Pinantan, Barotac, Akalaygan, Jalaud, Jalano, Jagdong, Jalaur, Lamunan, Jaro-Aganan, Sibalom and Guimbal.
People living near the mountain slopes and in the low lying areas of the above mentioned river systems and the **Local Disaster Risk Reduction and Management Councils** concerned advised to take necessary precautionary measures.
From 01/11/2025 to 01/11/2025, a Tropical Depression (maximum wind speed of 185 km/h) THIRTYONE-25 was active in NWPacific. The cyclone affects these countries: Philippines (vulnerability Medium). Estimated population affected by category 1 (120 km/h) wind speeds or higher is 8.118 million .
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