Официальные предупреждения о сильных погодных явлениях рядом с Candelaria

Under present weather conditions, At 3:00 AM today, the center of Tropical Storm "RAMIL" was estimated based on all available data at 315 km East of Juban, Sorsogon (13.1°N, 126.9°E), with maximum sustained winds of 65 km/h near the center and gustiness of up to 80 km/h. It is moving Westward at 20 km/h. The 12-hour rainfall forecast is light to moderate rains and thunderstorms. WATERCOURSES STILL LIKELY TO BE AFFECTED : + **Quezon** - Rivers and its tributaries particularly Upper Umiray, Lower Bolbok (Lawaya), Malaking-Ilog, Iyam, Macalelon, Catanauan, Silongin Lagda, Pagsanjan, Yabahaan, Bigol, Guinhalinan, Vinas, Calauag, Pandanan, Sta. Lucia, Lugan Malaybalay, Maapon, Bucal (Lalangan), Lakayat, Tignoan, Agos, Anibawan (Polilio Island) and Upper Kilbay - Catabangan. + **Batangas** - Rivers and its tributaries particularly Lian, Banabang-Molino, Pansipit, Kapumpong, Rosario-Lobo and Upper Bolbok (Lawaya). + **Laguna** - Rivers and its tributaries particularly Pagsanjan, Pila-Sta. Cruz, San Juan and San Cristobal. + **Cavite** - Rivers and its tributaries particularly Laboc (Balsahan), Cañas, Ylang-Ylang, Imus, and Maragondon. + **Rizal** - Rivers and its tributaries particularly Upper Marikina and Kaliwa.

A tropical cyclone will affect the locality. Winds of 39-61 kph or intermittent rains may be expected within 36 hours. RAMIL INTENSIFIES INTO A TROPICAL STORM. Location of eye/center : The center of Tropical Storm RAMIL was estimated based on all available data at 305 km East of Juban, Sorsogon (13.1, 126.8). Strength : Maximum winds of 65 kph near the centerand gustiness of up to 80 kph. Forecast movement : Forecast to move Westward at 20 kph Forecast position : Oct 18, 2025 02:00 PM - Over the coastal waters of Virac, Catanduanes Oct 19, 2025 02:00 AM - 120 km East of Infanta, Quezon Oct 19, 2025 02:00 PM - In the vicinity of Dupax del Sur, Nueva Vizcaya Oct 20, 2025 02:00 AM - 245 km West Northwest of Bacnotan, La Union Oct 20, 2025 02:00 PM - 460 km West of Sinait, Ilocos Sur (OUTSIDE PAR) Oct 21, 2025 02:00 AM - 580 km West of Sinait, Ilocos Sur (OUTSIDE PAR) Oct 22, 2025 02:00 AM - 810 km West of Northern Luzon (OUTSIDE PAR) Oct 23, 2025 02:00 AM - 1,015 km West of Northern Luzon (OUTSIDE PAR) HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND AREAS Heavy Rainfall Outlook   Refer to Weather Advisory No. 5 issued at 5:00 AM yesterday for the heavy rainfall outlook due to Tropical Cyclone RAMIL.   Severe Winds The wind signals warn the public of the general wind threat over an area due to the tropical cyclone. Local winds may be slightly stronger/enhanced in coastal and upland/mountainous areas exposed to winds. Winds are less strong in areas sheltered from the prevailing wind direction. Minor to moderate impacts from gale-force winds are possible within any of the localities where Wind Signal No. 2 is hoisted Minimal to minor impacts from strong winds are possible within any of the areas under Wind Signal No. 1. The highest Wind Signal that will likely be hoisted throughout its passage is Wind Signal No. 2. However, the possibility of reaching severe tropical storm category before landfall is not ruled out, the worst case scenario is Wind Signal No. 3. Furthermore, the trough and outer rainbands of RAMIL and the easterlies will also bring strong to gale-force gusts over the following areas not under Wind Signal (especially in coastal and upland areas exposed to winds): Today: Cagayan Valley, CALABARZON, Metro Manila, Ilocos Norte, Ilocos Sur, Marinduque, Mindoro Provinces, and Masbate Tomorrow (19 October): CALABARZON, Central Luzon, Metro Manila, and Eastern Samar Coastal Inundation There is a minimal to moderate risk of storm surge with peak heights reaching 1.0 to 2.0 m within 48 hours over the low-lying or exposed coastal localities of Isabela, Aurora, Quezon, Marinduque, Camarines Norte, Camarines Sur, Catanduanes, Albay, Sorsogon, Masbate, Northern Samar, Eastern Samar, Samar (Western Samar), Ilocos Norte, Ilocos Sur, La Union, Pangasinan, Zambales, and Bataan. Refer to Storm Surge Warning No. 4 issued at 2:00 AM today for the details. HAZARDS AFFECTING COASTAL WATERS A Gale Warning is in effect over the eastern seaboard of Southern Luzon. Refer to Gale Warning No. 1 issued at 5:00 AM today. 24-Hour Sea Condition Outlook Up to very rough seas over the following coastal waters: Up to 4.5 m: The northern and eastern seaboard of Catanduanes; the northern seaboards of Camarines Sur and Camarines Norte; the eastern seaboards of mainland Cagayan and Isabela; the eastern seaboards of Polillo Islands Sea travel is risky for all types or tonnage of vessels. All mariners must remain in port or, if underway, seek shelter or safe harbor as soon as possible until winds and waves subside. Up to rough seas over the following coastal waters: Up to 4.0 m: The northeastern seaboard of Aurora; the eastern seaboard of Babuyan Islands Up to 3.0 m: The seaboards of Batanes; the rest of Aurora; the remaining seaboards of Cagayan including Babuyan Islands and Polillo Islands; the northern seaboard of Northern Samar Mariners of small seacrafts, including all types of motorbancas, are advised not to venture out to sea under these conditions, especially if inexperienced of operating ill-equipped vessels. Up to moderate seas over the following coastal waters: Up to 2.5 m: The seaboards of Ilocos Norte and Ilocos Sur; the eastern seaboards of Albay, Sorsogon, and Eastern Samar; the remaining seaboards of Northern Samar. Up to 2.0 m: The seaboard of La Union; the western seaboards of Pangasinan and Northern Samar; the eastern seaboards of the Dinagat Islands, Siargao and Bucas Grande Islands, Surigao del Sur, and the rest of mainland Quezon Mariners of motorbancas and similarly sized vessels are advised to take precautionary measures while venturing out to sea and, if possible, avoid navigation under these conditions. TRACK AND INTENSITY OUTLOOK It must be emphasized that heavy rainfall, severe winds, and storm surge may still be experienced in localities outside the landfall point and the forecast confidence cone. Refer to “Other Hazards affecting Land Areas” for more details. Furthermore, the track may still shift within the limit of the forecast confidence cone. RAMIL is forecast to move generally west northwestward towards the area of Central-Southern Luzon. On the forecast track, the center of RAMIL may make landfall or pass close to Catanduanes this afternoon or evening. Afterwards, it will continue moving west northwestward passing close to Vinzons, Camarines Norte and Polillo Islands tomorrow (19 October) morning. It will then turn northwestward and may make another landfall over Aurora or Isabela by tomorrow morning or afternoon. After landfall, RAMIL may traverse the rugged terrain of Northern and Central Luzon and will emerge over the West Philippine Sea by tomorrow afternoon or evening. It will exit the Philippine Area of Responsibility by Monday (20 October) morning. A northward or southward shift of the track could result to another landfall area. RAMIL may further intensify while moving over the Philippine Sea. Intensification into a severe tropical storm prior to landfall is not ruled out. While traversing the landmass, RAMIL may maintain its strength or slightly weaken and further intensification is likely as it traverses the West Philippine Sea.