Under present weather conditions, At 3:00 PM today, the center of Tropical Depression "LUIS" was estimated based on all available data at 350 km East of Baler, Aurora (15.7°N, 124.9°E) with maximum sustained winds of 55 km/h near the center and gustiness of up to 70 km/h. It is moving Northwestward at 15 km/h. The 12-hour rainfall forecast is moderate to heavy rains. WATERCOURSES STILL LIKELY TO BE AFFECTED : + **Aurora** - Rivers and its tributaries particularly Casiguran, Aguang and Lower Umiray. + **Bulacan** - All rivers and its tributaries + **Bataan** - Rivers and its tributaries particularly Balanga and Morong. + **Zambales** - Rivers and its tributaries particularly Pamatawan, Sto. Tomas, Bucao, Bancal and Lawis.
People living near the mountain slopes and in the low lying areas of the above mentioned river systems and the **Local Disaster Risk Reduction and Management Councils** concerned still advised to be alert for possible flashfloods.
A tropical cyclone will affect the locality. Winds of 39-61 kph or intermittent rains may be expected within 36 hours. LUIS MAINTAINS ITS STRENGTH AS IT MOVES WEST NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE SEA EAST OF AURORA. Location of eye/center : The center of Tropical Depression LUIS was estimated based on all available data at at 200 km East of Baler, Aurora (15.9, 123.5). Strength : Maximum winds of 55 kph near the centerand gustiness of up to 70 kph. Forecast movement : Forecast to move West Northwestward at 15 kph Forecast position : Aug 03, 2026 08:00 AM - 85 km East of Casiguran, Aurora Aug 03, 2026 08:00 PM - In the vicinity of Ilagan City, Isabela Aug 04, 2026 08:00 AM - Over the coastal waters of Divilacan, Isabela Aug 04, 2026 08:00 PM - 120 km East of Tuguegarao City, Cagayan Aug 05, 2026 08:00 AM - 305 km East of Tuguegarao City, Cagayan HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND AREAS Heavy Rainfall Outlook Refer to Weather Advisory No. 5 issued at 11:00 PM today for the heavy rainfall outlook due to TC LUIS and the Southwest Monsoon. Severe Winds The wind signals warn the public of the general wind threat over an area due to the tropical cyclone. Local winds may be slightly stronger/enhanced in coastal and upland/mountainous areas exposed to winds. Winds are less strong in areas sheltered from the prevailing wind direction. Minimal to minor impacts from strong winds are possible within any of the areas under Wind Signal No. 1. The possibility of hoisting Wind Signal No. 2 is not ruled out. The Southwest Monsoon and the periphery of LUIS will bring strong to gale-force gusts over the following areas (especially in coastal and upland areas exposed to winds): Today (02 August): Marinduque, Occidental Mindoro, Oriental Mindoro, Romblon, Masbate, Sorsogon, Caluya Islands, Northern Samar, Samar, Biliran, Siquijor, Southern Leyte, Camiguin, and Dinagat Islands. Tomorrow (03 August) and Tuesday (04 August): Most of Luzon and Visayas, Lanao del Norte, Misamis Occidental, Camiguin, Surigao del Norte, Dinagat Islands, Sarangani, Davao Occidental, and Davao Oriental. HAZARDS AFFECTING COASTAL WATERS 24-Hour Sea Condition Outlook Up to moderate to rough seas over the following coastal waters: Up to 2.5 m: The eastern seaboard of Isabela and Davao Oriental; the northeastern seaboard of Aurora. Up to 2.0 m: The eastern seaboards of Batanes, Cagayan, Dinagat Islands, Surigao del Sur, and Davao Occidental; the northern and eastern seaboards of Polillo Islands, Catanduanes, and Northern Samar; the northern seaboards of Camarines Norte, Camarines Sur, and Masbate; the southern seaboard of Davao Oriental; the western seaboard of Bataan. Mariners of motorbancas and similarly sized vessels are advised to take precautionary measures while venturing out to sea and, if possible, avoid navigation under these conditions. Other coastal waters have forecast wave heights of less than 2.0 m. TRACK AND INTENSITY OUTLOOK It must be emphasized that heavy rainfall and severe winds may still be experienced in localities outside the landfall point and the forecast confidence cone. Refer to “Other Hazards affecting Land Areas” for more details. Furthermore, the track may still shift within the limit of the forecast confidence cone. LUIS will continue to move generally northwestward and may make landfall over Northern Luzon tomorrow afternoon or evening (03 August). Afterwards, it will slowly turn northeastward then east northeastward while moving away from the Philippine landmass. The forecast track is highly uncertain and may change in the succeeding bulletins. LUIS is forecast to intensify into a tropical storm in the next 12 hours while moving over the sea east of Central Luzon. Once it makes landfall or close approach to Northern Luzon, it may weaken into a tropical depression by tomorrow. Afterwards, a weakening trend is expected and may be downgraded into a remnant low by Wednesday (05 August) before becoming fully assimilated into the circulation of Tropical Cyclone DOLPHIN.
Considering these developments, the public and disaster risk reduction and management offices concerned are advised to take all necessary measures to protect life and property. Persons living in areas identified to be highly or very highly susceptible to these hazards are advised to follow evacuation and other instructions from local officials. For heavy rainfall warnings, thunderstorm/rainfall advisories, and other severe weather information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your local PAGASA Regional Services Division.
Şiddetli hava uyarıları, meteoblue'a dünya genelinde 80'den fazla resmî kurum tarafından sağlanmaktadır. meteoblue, uyarıların gerçek içeriği veya niteliği konusunda herhangi bir sorumluluk kabul etmez. Sorunlar, Geri Bildirim formu üzerinden bildirilebilir ve ilgili birimlere iletilecektir.
