...The Flood Warning continues for the following river in Texas... Oso Creek near Corpus Christi affecting Nueces County. For the Oso Creek...including Corpus Christi...Moderate flooding is forecast. * WHAT...Moderate flooding is forecast. * WHERE...Oso Creek near Corpus Christi. * WHEN...From Wednesday evening until Friday afternoon. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS... - At 7:15 PM CDT Tuesday, the stage was 6.0 feet. - Bankfull stage is 11.0 feet. - Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage Wednesday evening, crest around 22.9 feet on Thursday, then drop below flood stage Friday afternoon. - Flood stage is 20.0 feet. - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

* LOCATIONS AFFECTED - Corpus Christi - Flour Bluff - Chapman Ranch * WIND - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Equivalent Tropical Storm force wind - Peak Wind Forecast: 30-40 mph with gusts to 45 mph - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for wind 39 to 57 mph - The wind threat has remained nearly steady from the previous assessment. - PLAN: Plan for hazardous wind of equivalent tropical storm force. - PREPARE: Last minute efforts to protect property should now be complete. The area remains subject to limited wind damage. - ACT: Now is the time to shelter from hazardous wind. - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Unfolding - Potential impacts from the main wind event are unfolding. * STORM SURGE - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Localized storm surge possible - Peak Storm Surge Inundation: The potential for 1-3 feet above ground somewhere within surge prone areas - Window of concern: through Thursday afternoon - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for storm surge flooding greater than 1 foot above ground - The storm surge threat has remained nearly steady from the previous assessment. - PLAN: Shelter against storm surge flooding greater than 1 foot above ground. - PREPARE: All flood preparations should be complete. Expect flooding of low-lying roads and property. - ACT: Stay away from storm surge prone areas. Continue to follow the instructions of local officials. - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Unfolding - Potential impacts from the main surge event are unfolding. * FLOODING RAIN - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Flood Watch is in effect - Peak Rainfall Amounts: Additional 6-10 inches, with locally higher amounts - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for major flooding rain - The flooding rain threat has remained nearly steady from the previous assessment. - PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for major flooding from heavy rain. Evacuations and rescues are likely. - PREPARE: Strongly consider protective actions, especially if you are in an area vulnerable to flooding. - ACT: Heed any flood watches and warnings. Failure to take action will likely result in serious injury or loss of life. - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Extensive - Major rainfall flooding may prompt many evacuations and rescues. - Rivers and tributaries may rapidly overflow their banks in multiple places. Small streams, creeks, canals, and ditches may become dangerous rivers. Flood control systems and barriers may become stressed. - Flood waters can enter many structures within multiple communities, some structures becoming uninhabitable or washed away. Many places where flood waters may cover escape routes. Streets and parking lots become rivers of moving water with underpasses submerged. Driving conditions become dangerous. Many road and bridge closures with some weakened or washed out. * TORNADO - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: - Situation is somewhat favorable for tornadoes - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for a few tornadoes - The tornado threat has remained nearly steady from the previous assessment. - PLAN: Emergency plans should continue to include possible tornadoes. - PREPARE: Stay within your shelter keeping informed of the latest tornado situation. - ACT: Move quickly to the safest place within your shelter if a tornado warning is issued. - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Limited - The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the execution of emergency plans during tropical events. - A few places may experience tornado damage, along with power and communications disruptions. - Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings, chimneys toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations or overturned, large tree tops and branches snapped off, shallow-rooted trees knocked over, moving vehicles blown off roads, and small boats pulled from moorings. * FOR MORE INFORMATION: - https://www.weather.gov/srh/tropical?office=crp

HLSCRP This product covers South Texas **Tropical Storm Warnings Continue** NEW INFORMATION --------------- * CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS: - None * CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS: - A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Aransas Islands, Calhoun Islands, Coastal Aransas, Coastal Calhoun, Coastal Kleberg, Coastal Nueces, Coastal Refugio, Coastal San Patricio, Inland Calhoun, Inland Kleberg, Inland Nueces, Inland Refugio, Inland San Patricio, Kleberg Islands, and Nueces Islands * STORM INFORMATION: - About 450 miles southeast of Port Aransas TX or about 460 miles southeast of Corpus Christi TX - 22.5N 93.0W - Storm Intensity 40 mph - Movement Northwest or 305 degrees at 7 mph SITUATION OVERVIEW ------------------ A very large area of low pressure over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico continues to increase its likelihood of development into a tropical system over the next 12-24 hours as it slowly traverses the western Gulf. This system is expected to turn to the west-northwest and become a tropical storm tomorrow with a most likely eventual landfall along the Mexican coast Wednesday night. Tropical Storm Warnings remain in effect along all coastal counties across South Texas, the bays and Gulf waters out to 60 nm from Baffin Bay through Port O'Connor. Regardless of development and eventual landfall location, there are several hazards and impacts expected across South Texas from tonight through Thursday due to the large extent and slow movement of this system. The main threats continue to be: - Flash Flooding: Moderate to high threat of flash flooding tonight through Thursday. Rainfall accumulations of 8-10" are expected along the Coastal Bend and southern Brush Country with localized rainfall amounts up to 15". Across the rest of the region, the Rio Grande Plains, northern Brush Country and Victoria Crossroads could have amounts as high as 5-7" through Thursday. - Coastal Flooding: Significant coastal flooding is expected to begin tonight with around 3 ft of inundation possible across the Middle Texas Coast including the bays between Baffin Bay and Matagorda Bay. Elevated water levels are expected to linger through Friday. In addition, there is a High risk of rip currents. - River Flooding: Considerable river flooding along portions of the Coastal Plains and Victoria Crossroads from tonight through Thursday. There is a 31% chance of Major flooding at the Aransas River at Skidmore, 21% at Oso Creek and 25% at the Nueces River near Tilden. The River Forecast Center has begun using forecasted rainfall amounts to determine the potential for moderate to major river flooding. - Winds: Sustained winds of 35 mph with gusts to 45 mph can be expected across the Coastal Bend, while winds of up to 45 knots can be expected over the bays and Gulf waters. - Hazardous Seas: Wave heights 12 to 15 feet with occasionally up to 18 feet. POTENTIAL IMPACTS ----------------- * FLOODING RAIN: Protect against life-threatening rainfall flooding having possible extensive impacts across South Texas. Potential impacts include: - Major rainfall flooding may prompt many evacuations and rescues. - Rivers and tributaries may rapidly overflow their banks in multiple places. Small streams, creeks, canals, and ditches may become dangerous rivers. Flood control systems and barriers may become stressed. - Flood waters can enter many structures within multiple communities, some structures becoming uninhabitable or washed away. Many places where flood waters may cover escape routes. Streets and parking lots become rivers of moving water with underpasses submerged. Driving conditions become dangerous. Many road and bridge closures with some weakened or washed out. * SURGE: Prepare for locally hazardous surge having possible limited impacts across the Coastal Bend. Potential impacts in this area include: - Localized inundation with storm surge flooding mainly along immediate shorelines and in low-lying spots, or in areas farther inland near where higher surge waters move ashore. - Sections of near-shore roads and parking lots become overspread with surge water. Driving conditions dangerous in places where surge water covers the road. - Moderate beach erosion. Heavy surf also breaching dunes, mainly in usually vulnerable locations. Strong rip currents. - Minor to locally moderate damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks, and piers. A few small craft broken away from moorings. * WIND: Prepare for hazardous wind having possible limited impacts across the Coastal Bend. Potential impacts in this area include: - Damage to porches, awnings, carports, sheds, and unanchored mobile homes. Unsecured lightweight objects blown about. - Many large tree limbs broken off. A few trees snapped or uprooted, but with greater numbers in places where trees are shallow rooted. Some fences and roadway signs blown over. - A few roads impassable from debris, particularly within urban or heavily wooded places. Hazardous driving conditions on bridges and other elevated roadways. - Scattered power and communications outages. Elsewhere across South Texas, little to no impact is anticipated. * TORNADOES: Protect against a tornado event having possible limited impacts across South Texas. Potential impacts include: - The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the execution of emergency plans during tropical events. - A few places may experience tornado damage, along with power and communications disruptions. - Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings, chimneys toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations or overturned, large tree tops and branches snapped off, shallow-rooted trees knocked over, moving vehicles blown off roads, and small boats pulled from moorings. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS ---------------------------------- * EVACUATIONS: Follow the advice of local officials. * OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION: Now is the time to complete all preparations to protect life and property in accordance with your emergency plan. Ensure you are in a safe location before the onset of strong winds or possible flooding. Rapidly rising flood waters are deadly. If you are in a flood-prone area, consider moving to higher ground. Never drive through a flooded roadway. Remember, turn around don't drown! Closely monitor weather.gov, NOAA Weather radio or local news outlets for official storm information. Be ready to adapt to possible changes to the forecast. Ensure you have multiple ways to receive weather warnings. * ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION: - For information on Texas evacuation routes, see txdot.gov/driver/weather/hurricane.html - For information on creating emergency kits, see texasready.gov - For state assistance in an emergency event, tdem.texas.gov/response/state-of-texas-emergency-assistance-registry - For information on registering for emergency notifications in your area visit the websites below... - Corpus Christi and Nueces County: cctexas.com/reversealert - San Patricio, Aransas, and Refugio County: coastalplainlepc.org - Victoria County: vctx.org/page/oem.home - Calhoun County: www.calhouncotx.org NEXT UPDATE ----------- The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather Service in Corpus Christi TX around 4 AM CDT, or sooner if conditions warrant.

HLSCRP This product covers South Texas **Tropical Storm Warnings Continue** NEW INFORMATION --------------- * CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS: - None * CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS: - A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Aransas Islands, Calhoun Islands, Coastal Aransas, Coastal Calhoun, Coastal Kleberg, Coastal Nueces, Coastal Refugio, Coastal San Patricio, Inland Calhoun, Inland Kleberg, Inland Nueces, Inland Refugio, Inland San Patricio, Kleberg Islands, and Nueces Islands * STORM INFORMATION: - About 450 miles southeast of Port Aransas TX or about 460 miles southeast of Corpus Christi TX - 22.5N 93.0W - Storm Intensity 40 mph - Movement Northwest or 305 degrees at 7 mph SITUATION OVERVIEW ------------------ A very large area of low pressure over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico continues to increase its likelihood of development into a tropical system over the next 12-24 hours as it slowly traverses the western Gulf. This system is expected to turn to the west-northwest and become a tropical storm tomorrow with a most likely eventual landfall along the Mexican coast Wednesday night. Tropical Storm Warnings remain in effect along all coastal counties across South Texas, the bays and Gulf waters out to 60 nm from Baffin Bay through Port O'Connor. Regardless of development and eventual landfall location, there are several hazards and impacts expected across South Texas from tonight through Thursday due to the large extent and slow movement of this system. The main threats continue to be: - Flash Flooding: Moderate to high threat of flash flooding tonight through Thursday. Rainfall accumulations of 8-10" are expected along the Coastal Bend and southern Brush Country with localized rainfall amounts up to 15". Across the rest of the region, the Rio Grande Plains, northern Brush Country and Victoria Crossroads could have amounts as high as 5-7" through Thursday. - Coastal Flooding: Significant coastal flooding is expected to begin tonight with around 3 ft of inundation possible across the Middle Texas Coast including the bays between Baffin Bay and Matagorda Bay. Elevated water levels are expected to linger through Friday. In addition, there is a High risk of rip currents. - River Flooding: Considerable river flooding along portions of the Coastal Plains and Victoria Crossroads from tonight through Thursday. There is a 31% chance of Major flooding at the Aransas River at Skidmore, 21% at Oso Creek and 25% at the Nueces River near Tilden. The River Forecast Center has begun using forecasted rainfall amounts to determine the potential for moderate to major river flooding. - Winds: Sustained winds of 35 mph with gusts over 50 mph will be possible across the Coastal Bend, while winds of up to 50 knots can be expected over the bays and Gulf waters. - Hazardous Seas: Wave heights 12 to 18 feet with occasionally up to 20 feet. POTENTIAL IMPACTS ----------------- * FLOODING RAIN: Protect against life-threatening rainfall flooding having possible extensive impacts across South Texas. Potential impacts include: - Major rainfall flooding may prompt many evacuations and rescues. - Rivers and tributaries may rapidly overflow their banks in multiple places. Small streams, creeks, canals, and ditches may become dangerous rivers. Flood control systems and barriers may become stressed. - Flood waters can enter many structures within multiple communities, some structures becoming uninhabitable or washed away. Many places where flood waters may cover escape routes. Streets and parking lots become rivers of moving water with underpasses submerged. Driving conditions become dangerous. Many road and bridge closures with some weakened or washed out. * SURGE: Prepare for locally hazardous surge having possible limited impacts across the Coastal Bend. Potential impacts in this area include: - Localized inundation with storm surge flooding mainly along immediate shorelines and in low-lying spots, or in areas farther inland near where higher surge waters move ashore. - Sections of near-shore roads and parking lots become overspread with surge water. Driving conditions dangerous in places where surge water covers the road. - Moderate beach erosion. Heavy surf also breaching dunes, mainly in usually vulnerable locations. Strong rip currents. - Minor to locally moderate damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks, and piers. A few small craft broken away from moorings. * WIND: Prepare for hazardous wind having possible limited impacts across the Coastal Bend. Potential impacts in this area include: - Damage to porches, awnings, carports, sheds, and unanchored mobile homes. Unsecured lightweight objects blown about. - Many large tree limbs broken off. A few trees snapped or uprooted, but with greater numbers in places where trees are shallow rooted. Some fences and roadway signs blown over. - A few roads impassable from debris, particularly within urban or heavily wooded places. Hazardous driving conditions on bridges and other elevated roadways. - Scattered power and communications outages. Elsewhere across South Texas, little to no impact is anticipated. * TORNADOES: Protect against a tornado event having possible limited impacts across South Texas. Potential impacts include: - The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the execution of emergency plans during tropical events. - A few places may experience tornado damage, along with power and communications disruptions. - Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings, chimneys toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations or overturned, large tree tops and branches snapped off, shallow-rooted trees knocked over, moving vehicles blown off roads, and small boats pulled from moorings. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS ---------------------------------- * EVACUATIONS: Follow the advice of local officials. * OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION: Now is the time to complete all preparations to protect life and property in accordance with your emergency plan. Ensure you are in a safe location before the onset of strong winds or possible flooding. Rapidly rising flood waters are deadly. If you are in a flood-prone area, consider moving to higher ground. Never drive through a flooded roadway. Remember, turn around don't drown! Closely monitor weather.gov, NOAA Weather radio or local news outlets for official storm information. Be ready to adapt to possible changes to the forecast. Ensure you have multiple ways to receive weather warnings. * ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION: - For information on Texas evacuation routes, see txdot.gov/driver/weather/hurricane.html - For information on creating emergency kits, see texasready.gov - For state assistance in an emergency event, tdem.texas.gov/response/state-of-texas-emergency-assistance-registry - For information on registering for emergency notifications in your area visit the websites below... - Corpus Christi and Nueces County: cctexas.com/reversealert - San Patricio, Aransas, and Refugio County: coastalplainlepc.org - Victoria County: vctx.org/page/oem.home - Calhoun County: www.calhouncotx.org NEXT UPDATE ----------- The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather Service in Corpus Christi TX around 4 AM CDT, or sooner if conditions warrant.

HLSCRP This product covers South Texas **Tropical Storm Warnings Continue** NEW INFORMATION --------------- * CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS: - None * CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS: - A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Aransas Islands, Calhoun Islands, Coastal Aransas, Coastal Calhoun, Coastal Kleberg, Coastal Nueces, Coastal Refugio, Coastal San Patricio, Inland Calhoun, Inland Kleberg, Inland Nueces, Inland Refugio, Inland San Patricio, Kleberg Islands, and Nueces Islands * STORM INFORMATION: - About 410 miles south-southeast of Port Aransas TX or about 420 miles south-southeast of Corpus Christi TX - 22.7N 93.8W - Storm Intensity 40 mph - Movement West-northwest or 285 degrees at 8 mph SITUATION OVERVIEW ------------------ The area of low pressure is beginning to become better organized and is expected to strengthen into a tropical storm over the next 12- 18 hours as it slowly traverses the western Gulf. This system is expected to continue moving westward with a most likely eventual landfall along the Mexican coast tonight. Tropical Storm Warnings remain in effect along all coastal counties across South Texas, the bays and Gulf waters out to 60 nm from Baffin Bay through Port O'Connor. Regardless of development and eventual landfall location, there are several hazards and impacts expected across South Texas from today through Thursday due to the large extent and slow movement of this system. The main threats continue to be: - Flash Flooding: Moderate to high threat of flash flooding today through Thursday. Rainfall accumulations of 8-10" are expected along the Coastal Bend and southern Brush Country with localized rainfall amounts up to 15". Across the rest of the region, the Rio Grande Plains, northern Brush Country and Victoria Crossroads could have amounts as high as 4-8" through Thursday. - Coastal Flooding: Significant coastal flooding is ongoing with peak inundation of 3 ft possible across the Middle Texas Coast including the bays between Baffin Bay and Matagorda Bay. Elevated water levels are expected to linger through Friday. In addition, there is a High risk of rip currents. - River Flooding: Considerable river flooding along portions of the Coastal Plains and Victoria Crossroads from today through Thursday. There is a 31% chance of Major flooding at the Aransas River at Skidmore, 21% at Oso Creek and 25% at the Nueces River near Tilden. The River Forecast Center has begun using forecasted rainfall amounts to determine the potential for moderate to major river flooding. - Winds: Sustained winds of 35 mph with gusts over 50 mph will be possible across the Coastal Bend, while winds of up to 50 knots can be expected over the bays and Gulf waters. - Hazardous Seas: Wave heights 15 to 20 feet. POTENTIAL IMPACTS ----------------- * FLOODING RAIN: Protect against life-threatening rainfall flooding having possible extensive impacts across South Texas. Potential impacts include: - Major rainfall flooding may prompt many evacuations and rescues. - Rivers and tributaries may rapidly overflow their banks in multiple places. Small streams, creeks, canals, and ditches may become dangerous rivers. Flood control systems and barriers may become stressed. - Flood waters can enter many structures within multiple communities, some structures becoming uninhabitable or washed away. Many places where flood waters may cover escape routes. Streets and parking lots become rivers of moving water with underpasses submerged. Driving conditions become dangerous. Many road and bridge closures with some weakened or washed out. * SURGE: Protect against locally hazardous surge having possible limited impacts across Coastal Bend. Potential impacts in this area include: - Localized inundation with storm surge flooding mainly along immediate shorelines and in low-lying spots, or in areas farther inland near where higher surge waters move ashore. - Sections of near-shore roads and parking lots become overspread with surge water. Driving conditions dangerous in places where surge water covers the road. - Moderate beach erosion. Heavy surf also breaching dunes, mainly in usually vulnerable locations. Strong rip currents. - Minor to locally moderate damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks, and piers. A few small craft broken away from moorings. * WIND: Protect against hazardous wind having possible limited impacts across Coastal Bend. Potential impacts in this area include: - Damage to porches, awnings, carports, sheds, and unanchored mobile homes. Unsecured lightweight objects blown about. - Many large tree limbs broken off. A few trees snapped or uprooted, but with greater numbers in places where trees are shallow rooted. Some fences and roadway signs blown over. - A few roads impassable from debris, particularly within urban or heavily wooded places. Hazardous driving conditions on bridges and other elevated roadways. - Scattered power and communications outages. Elsewhere across South Texas, little to no impact is anticipated. * TORNADOES: Protect against a tornado event having possible limited impacts across South Texas. Potential impacts include: - The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the execution of emergency plans during tropical events. - A few places may experience tornado damage, along with power and communications disruptions. - Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings, chimneys toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations or overturned, large tree tops and branches snapped off, shallow-rooted trees knocked over, moving vehicles blown off roads, and small boats pulled from moorings. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS ---------------------------------- * EVACUATIONS: Follow the advice of local officials. * OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION: Now is the time to complete all preparations to protect life and property in accordance with your emergency plan. Ensure you are in a safe location before the onset of strong winds or possible flooding. Rapidly rising flood waters are deadly. If you are in a flood-prone area, consider moving to higher ground. Never drive through a flooded roadway. Remember, turn around don't drown! Closely monitor weather.gov, NOAA Weather radio or local news outlets for official storm information. Be ready to adapt to possible changes to the forecast. Ensure you have multiple ways to receive weather warnings. * ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION: - For information on Texas evacuation routes, see txdot.gov/driver/weather/hurricane.html - For information on creating emergency kits, see texasready.gov - For state assistance in an emergency event, tdem.texas.gov/response/state-of-texas-emergency-assistance-registry - For information on registering for emergency notifications in your area visit the websites below... - Corpus Christi and Nueces County: cctexas.com/reversealert - San Patricio, Aransas, and Refugio County: coastalplainlepc.org - Victoria County: vctx.org/page/oem.home - Calhoun County: www.calhouncotx.org NEXT UPDATE ----------- The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather Service in Corpus Christi TX around 10 AM CDT, or sooner if conditions warrant.

* WHAT...East winds 30 to 40 knots with gusts up to 50 knots and seas 15 to 20 feet. * WHERE...Bays and Gulf waters from Baffin Bay to Port O'Connor * WHEN...Tropical Storm force winds possible until early Thursday morning. * IMPACTS...Very strong winds will cause hazardous seas which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

* LOCATIONS AFFECTED - Mustang Island - Port Aransas * WIND - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Equivalent Tropical Storm force wind - Peak Wind Forecast: 35-45 mph with gusts to 55 mph - Window for Tropical Storm force winds: until early Thursday morning - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for wind 39 to 57 mph - The wind threat has remained nearly steady from the previous assessment. - PLAN: Plan for hazardous wind of equivalent tropical storm force. - PREPARE: Last minute efforts to protect property should now be complete. The area remains subject to limited wind damage. - ACT: Now is the time to shelter from hazardous wind. - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Unfolding - Potential impacts from the main wind event are unfolding. * STORM SURGE - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Localized storm surge possible - Peak Storm Surge Inundation: The potential for 1-3 feet above ground somewhere within surge prone areas - Window of concern: through Thursday afternoon - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for storm surge flooding greater than 1 foot above ground - The storm surge threat has remained nearly steady from the previous assessment. - PLAN: Shelter against storm surge flooding greater than 1 foot above ground. - PREPARE: All flood preparations should be complete. Expect flooding of low-lying roads and property. - ACT: Stay away from storm surge prone areas. Continue to follow the instructions of local officials. - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Unfolding - Potential impacts from the main surge event are unfolding. * FLOODING RAIN - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Flood Watch is in effect - Peak Rainfall Amounts: Additional 4-8 inches, with locally higher amounts - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for major flooding rain - The flooding rain threat has remained nearly steady from the previous assessment. - PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for major flooding from heavy rain. Evacuations and rescues are likely. - PREPARE: Strongly consider protective actions, especially if you are in an area vulnerable to flooding. - ACT: Heed any flood watches and warnings. Failure to take action will likely result in serious injury or loss of life. - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Extensive - Major rainfall flooding may prompt many evacuations and rescues. - Rivers and tributaries may rapidly overflow their banks in multiple places. Small streams, creeks, canals, and ditches may become dangerous rivers. Flood control systems and barriers may become stressed. - Flood waters can enter many structures within multiple communities, some structures becoming uninhabitable or washed away. Many places where flood waters may cover escape routes. Streets and parking lots become rivers of moving water with underpasses submerged. Driving conditions become dangerous. Many road and bridge closures with some weakened or washed out. * TORNADO - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: - Situation is somewhat favorable for tornadoes - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for a few tornadoes - The tornado threat has remained nearly steady from the previous assessment. - PLAN: Emergency plans should continue to include possible tornadoes. - PREPARE: Stay within your shelter keeping informed of the latest tornado situation. - ACT: Move quickly to the safest place within your shelter if a tornado warning is issued. - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Limited - The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the execution of emergency plans during tropical events. - A few places may experience tornado damage, along with power and communications disruptions. - Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings, chimneys toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations or overturned, large tree tops and branches snapped off, shallow-rooted trees knocked over, moving vehicles blown off roads, and small boats pulled from moorings. * FOR MORE INFORMATION: - https://www.weather.gov/srh/tropical?office=crp

HLSCRP This product covers South Texas **Tropical Storm Warnings Continue** NEW INFORMATION --------------- * CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS: - None * CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS: - A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Aransas Islands, Calhoun Islands, Coastal Aransas, Coastal Calhoun, Coastal Kleberg, Coastal Nueces, Coastal Refugio, Coastal San Patricio, Inland Calhoun, Inland Kleberg, Inland Nueces, Inland Refugio, Inland San Patricio, Kleberg Islands, and Nueces Islands * STORM INFORMATION: - About 450 miles southeast of Port Aransas TX or about 460 miles southeast of Corpus Christi TX - 22.5N 93.0W - Storm Intensity 40 mph - Movement Northwest or 305 degrees at 7 mph SITUATION OVERVIEW ------------------ A very large area of low pressure over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico continues to increase its likelihood of development into a tropical system over the next 12-24 hours as it slowly traverses the western Gulf. This system is expected to turn to the west-northwest and become a tropical storm tomorrow with a most likely eventual landfall along the Mexican coast Wednesday night. Tropical Storm Warnings remain in effect along all coastal counties across South Texas, the bays and Gulf waters out to 60 nm from Baffin Bay through Port O'Connor. Regardless of development and eventual landfall location, there are several hazards and impacts expected across South Texas from tonight through Thursday due to the large extent and slow movement of this system. The main threats continue to be: - Flash Flooding: Moderate to high threat of flash flooding tonight through Thursday. Rainfall accumulations of 8-10" are expected along the Coastal Bend and southern Brush Country with localized rainfall amounts up to 15". Across the rest of the region, the Rio Grande Plains, northern Brush Country and Victoria Crossroads could have amounts as high as 5-7" through Thursday. - Coastal Flooding: Significant coastal flooding is expected to begin tonight with around 3 ft of inundation possible across the Middle Texas Coast including the bays between Baffin Bay and Matagorda Bay. Elevated water levels are expected to linger through Friday. In addition, there is a High risk of rip currents. - River Flooding: Considerable river flooding along portions of the Coastal Plains and Victoria Crossroads from tonight through Thursday. There is a 31% chance of Major flooding at the Aransas River at Skidmore, 21% at Oso Creek and 25% at the Nueces River near Tilden. The River Forecast Center has begun using forecasted rainfall amounts to determine the potential for moderate to major river flooding. - Winds: Sustained winds of 35 mph with gusts to 45 mph can be expected across the Coastal Bend, while winds of up to 45 knots can be expected over the bays and Gulf waters. - Hazardous Seas: Wave heights 12 to 15 feet with occasionally up to 18 feet. POTENTIAL IMPACTS ----------------- * FLOODING RAIN: Protect against life-threatening rainfall flooding having possible extensive impacts across South Texas. Potential impacts include: - Major rainfall flooding may prompt many evacuations and rescues. - Rivers and tributaries may rapidly overflow their banks in multiple places. Small streams, creeks, canals, and ditches may become dangerous rivers. Flood control systems and barriers may become stressed. - Flood waters can enter many structures within multiple communities, some structures becoming uninhabitable or washed away. Many places where flood waters may cover escape routes. Streets and parking lots become rivers of moving water with underpasses submerged. Driving conditions become dangerous. Many road and bridge closures with some weakened or washed out. * SURGE: Prepare for locally hazardous surge having possible limited impacts across the Coastal Bend. Potential impacts in this area include: - Localized inundation with storm surge flooding mainly along immediate shorelines and in low-lying spots, or in areas farther inland near where higher surge waters move ashore. - Sections of near-shore roads and parking lots become overspread with surge water. Driving conditions dangerous in places where surge water covers the road. - Moderate beach erosion. Heavy surf also breaching dunes, mainly in usually vulnerable locations. Strong rip currents. - Minor to locally moderate damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks, and piers. A few small craft broken away from moorings. * WIND: Prepare for hazardous wind having possible limited impacts across the Coastal Bend. Potential impacts in this area include: - Damage to porches, awnings, carports, sheds, and unanchored mobile homes. Unsecured lightweight objects blown about. - Many large tree limbs broken off. A few trees snapped or uprooted, but with greater numbers in places where trees are shallow rooted. Some fences and roadway signs blown over. - A few roads impassable from debris, particularly within urban or heavily wooded places. Hazardous driving conditions on bridges and other elevated roadways. - Scattered power and communications outages. Elsewhere across South Texas, little to no impact is anticipated. * TORNADOES: Protect against a tornado event having possible limited impacts across South Texas. Potential impacts include: - The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the execution of emergency plans during tropical events. - A few places may experience tornado damage, along with power and communications disruptions. - Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings, chimneys toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations or overturned, large tree tops and branches snapped off, shallow-rooted trees knocked over, moving vehicles blown off roads, and small boats pulled from moorings. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS ---------------------------------- * EVACUATIONS: Follow the advice of local officials. * OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION: Now is the time to complete all preparations to protect life and property in accordance with your emergency plan. Ensure you are in a safe location before the onset of strong winds or possible flooding. Rapidly rising flood waters are deadly. If you are in a flood-prone area, consider moving to higher ground. Never drive through a flooded roadway. Remember, turn around don't drown! Closely monitor weather.gov, NOAA Weather radio or local news outlets for official storm information. Be ready to adapt to possible changes to the forecast. Ensure you have multiple ways to receive weather warnings. * ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION: - For information on Texas evacuation routes, see txdot.gov/driver/weather/hurricane.html - For information on creating emergency kits, see texasready.gov - For state assistance in an emergency event, tdem.texas.gov/response/state-of-texas-emergency-assistance-registry - For information on registering for emergency notifications in your area visit the websites below... - Corpus Christi and Nueces County: cctexas.com/reversealert - San Patricio, Aransas, and Refugio County: coastalplainlepc.org - Victoria County: vctx.org/page/oem.home - Calhoun County: www.calhouncotx.org NEXT UPDATE ----------- The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather Service in Corpus Christi TX around 4 AM CDT, or sooner if conditions warrant.

HLSCRP This product covers South Texas **Tropical Storm Warnings Continue** NEW INFORMATION --------------- * CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS: - None * CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS: - A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Aransas Islands, Calhoun Islands, Coastal Aransas, Coastal Calhoun, Coastal Kleberg, Coastal Nueces, Coastal Refugio, Coastal San Patricio, Inland Calhoun, Inland Kleberg, Inland Nueces, Inland Refugio, Inland San Patricio, Kleberg Islands, and Nueces Islands * STORM INFORMATION: - About 450 miles southeast of Port Aransas TX or about 460 miles southeast of Corpus Christi TX - 22.5N 93.0W - Storm Intensity 40 mph - Movement Northwest or 305 degrees at 7 mph SITUATION OVERVIEW ------------------ A very large area of low pressure over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico continues to increase its likelihood of development into a tropical system over the next 12-24 hours as it slowly traverses the western Gulf. This system is expected to turn to the west-northwest and become a tropical storm tomorrow with a most likely eventual landfall along the Mexican coast Wednesday night. Tropical Storm Warnings remain in effect along all coastal counties across South Texas, the bays and Gulf waters out to 60 nm from Baffin Bay through Port O'Connor. Regardless of development and eventual landfall location, there are several hazards and impacts expected across South Texas from tonight through Thursday due to the large extent and slow movement of this system. The main threats continue to be: - Flash Flooding: Moderate to high threat of flash flooding tonight through Thursday. Rainfall accumulations of 8-10" are expected along the Coastal Bend and southern Brush Country with localized rainfall amounts up to 15". Across the rest of the region, the Rio Grande Plains, northern Brush Country and Victoria Crossroads could have amounts as high as 5-7" through Thursday. - Coastal Flooding: Significant coastal flooding is expected to begin tonight with around 3 ft of inundation possible across the Middle Texas Coast including the bays between Baffin Bay and Matagorda Bay. Elevated water levels are expected to linger through Friday. In addition, there is a High risk of rip currents. - River Flooding: Considerable river flooding along portions of the Coastal Plains and Victoria Crossroads from tonight through Thursday. There is a 31% chance of Major flooding at the Aransas River at Skidmore, 21% at Oso Creek and 25% at the Nueces River near Tilden. The River Forecast Center has begun using forecasted rainfall amounts to determine the potential for moderate to major river flooding. - Winds: Sustained winds of 35 mph with gusts over 50 mph will be possible across the Coastal Bend, while winds of up to 50 knots can be expected over the bays and Gulf waters. - Hazardous Seas: Wave heights 12 to 18 feet with occasionally up to 20 feet. POTENTIAL IMPACTS ----------------- * FLOODING RAIN: Protect against life-threatening rainfall flooding having possible extensive impacts across South Texas. Potential impacts include: - Major rainfall flooding may prompt many evacuations and rescues. - Rivers and tributaries may rapidly overflow their banks in multiple places. Small streams, creeks, canals, and ditches may become dangerous rivers. Flood control systems and barriers may become stressed. - Flood waters can enter many structures within multiple communities, some structures becoming uninhabitable or washed away. Many places where flood waters may cover escape routes. Streets and parking lots become rivers of moving water with underpasses submerged. Driving conditions become dangerous. Many road and bridge closures with some weakened or washed out. * SURGE: Prepare for locally hazardous surge having possible limited impacts across the Coastal Bend. Potential impacts in this area include: - Localized inundation with storm surge flooding mainly along immediate shorelines and in low-lying spots, or in areas farther inland near where higher surge waters move ashore. - Sections of near-shore roads and parking lots become overspread with surge water. Driving conditions dangerous in places where surge water covers the road. - Moderate beach erosion. Heavy surf also breaching dunes, mainly in usually vulnerable locations. Strong rip currents. - Minor to locally moderate damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks, and piers. A few small craft broken away from moorings. * WIND: Prepare for hazardous wind having possible limited impacts across the Coastal Bend. Potential impacts in this area include: - Damage to porches, awnings, carports, sheds, and unanchored mobile homes. Unsecured lightweight objects blown about. - Many large tree limbs broken off. A few trees snapped or uprooted, but with greater numbers in places where trees are shallow rooted. Some fences and roadway signs blown over. - A few roads impassable from debris, particularly within urban or heavily wooded places. Hazardous driving conditions on bridges and other elevated roadways. - Scattered power and communications outages. Elsewhere across South Texas, little to no impact is anticipated. * TORNADOES: Protect against a tornado event having possible limited impacts across South Texas. Potential impacts include: - The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the execution of emergency plans during tropical events. - A few places may experience tornado damage, along with power and communications disruptions. - Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings, chimneys toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations or overturned, large tree tops and branches snapped off, shallow-rooted trees knocked over, moving vehicles blown off roads, and small boats pulled from moorings. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS ---------------------------------- * EVACUATIONS: Follow the advice of local officials. * OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION: Now is the time to complete all preparations to protect life and property in accordance with your emergency plan. Ensure you are in a safe location before the onset of strong winds or possible flooding. Rapidly rising flood waters are deadly. If you are in a flood-prone area, consider moving to higher ground. Never drive through a flooded roadway. Remember, turn around don't drown! Closely monitor weather.gov, NOAA Weather radio or local news outlets for official storm information. Be ready to adapt to possible changes to the forecast. Ensure you have multiple ways to receive weather warnings. * ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION: - For information on Texas evacuation routes, see txdot.gov/driver/weather/hurricane.html - For information on creating emergency kits, see texasready.gov - For state assistance in an emergency event, tdem.texas.gov/response/state-of-texas-emergency-assistance-registry - For information on registering for emergency notifications in your area visit the websites below... - Corpus Christi and Nueces County: cctexas.com/reversealert - San Patricio, Aransas, and Refugio County: coastalplainlepc.org - Victoria County: vctx.org/page/oem.home - Calhoun County: www.calhouncotx.org NEXT UPDATE ----------- The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather Service in Corpus Christi TX around 4 AM CDT, or sooner if conditions warrant.

HLSCRP This product covers South Texas **Tropical Storm Warnings Continue** NEW INFORMATION --------------- * CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS: - None * CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS: - A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Aransas Islands, Calhoun Islands, Coastal Aransas, Coastal Calhoun, Coastal Kleberg, Coastal Nueces, Coastal Refugio, Coastal San Patricio, Inland Calhoun, Inland Kleberg, Inland Nueces, Inland Refugio, Inland San Patricio, Kleberg Islands, and Nueces Islands * STORM INFORMATION: - About 410 miles south-southeast of Port Aransas TX or about 420 miles south-southeast of Corpus Christi TX - 22.7N 93.8W - Storm Intensity 40 mph - Movement West-northwest or 285 degrees at 8 mph SITUATION OVERVIEW ------------------ The area of low pressure is beginning to become better organized and is expected to strengthen into a tropical storm over the next 12- 18 hours as it slowly traverses the western Gulf. This system is expected to continue moving westward with a most likely eventual landfall along the Mexican coast tonight. Tropical Storm Warnings remain in effect along all coastal counties across South Texas, the bays and Gulf waters out to 60 nm from Baffin Bay through Port O'Connor. Regardless of development and eventual landfall location, there are several hazards and impacts expected across South Texas from today through Thursday due to the large extent and slow movement of this system. The main threats continue to be: - Flash Flooding: Moderate to high threat of flash flooding today through Thursday. Rainfall accumulations of 8-10" are expected along the Coastal Bend and southern Brush Country with localized rainfall amounts up to 15". Across the rest of the region, the Rio Grande Plains, northern Brush Country and Victoria Crossroads could have amounts as high as 4-8" through Thursday. - Coastal Flooding: Significant coastal flooding is ongoing with peak inundation of 3 ft possible across the Middle Texas Coast including the bays between Baffin Bay and Matagorda Bay. Elevated water levels are expected to linger through Friday. In addition, there is a High risk of rip currents. - River Flooding: Considerable river flooding along portions of the Coastal Plains and Victoria Crossroads from today through Thursday. There is a 31% chance of Major flooding at the Aransas River at Skidmore, 21% at Oso Creek and 25% at the Nueces River near Tilden. The River Forecast Center has begun using forecasted rainfall amounts to determine the potential for moderate to major river flooding. - Winds: Sustained winds of 35 mph with gusts over 50 mph will be possible across the Coastal Bend, while winds of up to 50 knots can be expected over the bays and Gulf waters. - Hazardous Seas: Wave heights 15 to 20 feet. POTENTIAL IMPACTS ----------------- * FLOODING RAIN: Protect against life-threatening rainfall flooding having possible extensive impacts across South Texas. Potential impacts include: - Major rainfall flooding may prompt many evacuations and rescues. - Rivers and tributaries may rapidly overflow their banks in multiple places. Small streams, creeks, canals, and ditches may become dangerous rivers. Flood control systems and barriers may become stressed. - Flood waters can enter many structures within multiple communities, some structures becoming uninhabitable or washed away. Many places where flood waters may cover escape routes. Streets and parking lots become rivers of moving water with underpasses submerged. Driving conditions become dangerous. Many road and bridge closures with some weakened or washed out. * SURGE: Protect against locally hazardous surge having possible limited impacts across Coastal Bend. Potential impacts in this area include: - Localized inundation with storm surge flooding mainly along immediate shorelines and in low-lying spots, or in areas farther inland near where higher surge waters move ashore. - Sections of near-shore roads and parking lots become overspread with surge water. Driving conditions dangerous in places where surge water covers the road. - Moderate beach erosion. Heavy surf also breaching dunes, mainly in usually vulnerable locations. Strong rip currents. - Minor to locally moderate damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks, and piers. A few small craft broken away from moorings. * WIND: Protect against hazardous wind having possible limited impacts across Coastal Bend. Potential impacts in this area include: - Damage to porches, awnings, carports, sheds, and unanchored mobile homes. Unsecured lightweight objects blown about. - Many large tree limbs broken off. A few trees snapped or uprooted, but with greater numbers in places where trees are shallow rooted. Some fences and roadway signs blown over. - A few roads impassable from debris, particularly within urban or heavily wooded places. Hazardous driving conditions on bridges and other elevated roadways. - Scattered power and communications outages. Elsewhere across South Texas, little to no impact is anticipated. * TORNADOES: Protect against a tornado event having possible limited impacts across South Texas. Potential impacts include: - The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the execution of emergency plans during tropical events. - A few places may experience tornado damage, along with power and communications disruptions. - Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings, chimneys toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations or overturned, large tree tops and branches snapped off, shallow-rooted trees knocked over, moving vehicles blown off roads, and small boats pulled from moorings. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS ---------------------------------- * EVACUATIONS: Follow the advice of local officials. * OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION: Now is the time to complete all preparations to protect life and property in accordance with your emergency plan. Ensure you are in a safe location before the onset of strong winds or possible flooding. Rapidly rising flood waters are deadly. If you are in a flood-prone area, consider moving to higher ground. Never drive through a flooded roadway. Remember, turn around don't drown! Closely monitor weather.gov, NOAA Weather radio or local news outlets for official storm information. Be ready to adapt to possible changes to the forecast. Ensure you have multiple ways to receive weather warnings. * ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION: - For information on Texas evacuation routes, see txdot.gov/driver/weather/hurricane.html - For information on creating emergency kits, see texasready.gov - For state assistance in an emergency event, tdem.texas.gov/response/state-of-texas-emergency-assistance-registry - For information on registering for emergency notifications in your area visit the websites below... - Corpus Christi and Nueces County: cctexas.com/reversealert - San Patricio, Aransas, and Refugio County: coastalplainlepc.org - Victoria County: vctx.org/page/oem.home - Calhoun County: www.calhouncotx.org NEXT UPDATE ----------- The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather Service in Corpus Christi TX around 10 AM CDT, or sooner if conditions warrant.

* WHAT...Flash flooding caused by excessive rainfall continues to be possible. * WHERE...A portion of south Texas, including the following areas, Aransas Islands, Bee, Calhoun Islands, Coastal Aransas, Coastal Calhoun, Coastal Kleberg, Coastal Nueces, Coastal Refugio, Coastal San Patricio, Duval, Goliad, Inland Calhoun, Inland Kleberg, Inland Nueces, Inland Refugio, Inland San Patricio, Jim Wells, Kleberg Islands, La Salle, Live Oak, McMullen, Nueces Islands, Victoria and Webb. * WHEN...Through Thursday afternoon. * IMPACTS...Excessive runoff may result in flooding of rivers, creeks, streams, and other low-lying and flood-prone locations. Creeks and streams may rise out of their banks. Flooding may occur in poor drainage and urban areas. Low-water crossings may be flooded. Extensive street flooding and flooding of creeks and rivers are possible. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS... - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

* WHAT...Flash flooding caused by excessive rainfall continues to be possible. * WHERE...A portion of south Texas, including the following areas, Aransas Islands, Bee, Calhoun Islands, Coastal Aransas, Coastal Calhoun, Coastal Kleberg, Coastal Nueces, Coastal Refugio, Coastal San Patricio, Duval, Goliad, Inland Calhoun, Inland Kleberg, Inland Nueces, Inland Refugio, Inland San Patricio, Jim Wells, Kleberg Islands, La Salle, Live Oak, McMullen, Nueces Islands, Victoria and Webb. * WHEN...Through Thursday afternoon. * IMPACTS...Excessive runoff may result in flooding of rivers, creeks, streams, and other low-lying and flood-prone locations. Creeks and streams may rise out of their banks. Flooding may occur in poor drainage and urban areas. Low-water crossings may be flooded. Extensive street flooding and flooding of creeks and rivers are possible. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS... - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

* WHAT...For the Coastal Flood Warning, significant coastal flooding. For the High Rip Current Risk, dangerous rip currents. * WHERE...Aransas Islands, Kleberg Islands, Nueces Islands and Calhoun Islands Counties. * WHEN...For the Coastal Flood Warning, until 7 PM CDT Friday. For the High Rip Current Risk, through Friday afternoon. * IMPACTS...Numerous roads will likely be closed. Beach roads will be impassable. Low lying property including homes, businesses, and some critical infrastructure will be inundated. Some shoreline erosion will occur. Rip currents can sweep even the most experienced swimmers away from shore into deeper water. These rip currents can become life-threatening to anyone entering the surf.