Tropical Storm Bavi (09W) is currently located about 340 miles to the north-northeast of Pohnpei near 11.9N 158.5E, or roughly 545 miles northeast of Chuuk, and is moving west-northwest at 15 mph. Maximum sustained winds are 60 mph. Chuuk is currently located within the near-equatorial trough on the far outer southwest periphery of TS Bavi, and will remain within its peripheral influence in the coming days as the storm strengthens and moves toward the Marianas, bringing it to the north of Weno sometime this weekend. Chuuk is expected to remain outside of the direct wind field of Bavi, but surging west to southwest winds around 20 to 25 knots are expected to develop across the region south of the storm. Models suggest west winds around 15 to 20 knots will begin to pick up for Chuuk on Friday, peaking sometime Saturday or Sunday with potential to generate choppy, hazardous seas which could make inter-island travel hazardous. Additionally, chances for locally heavy showers will increase this weekend through early next week as this strong west to southwest flow, directed by TS Bavi, funnels deep moisture into a convergent wind field. Near-gale to gale-force gusts will be possible near heavier showers. As Bavi develops and begins to pass to the north of Weno this weekend, west to southwest swell looks to develop, which will lead to elevated, and potentially hazardous surf into early next week. For more information on Tropical Storm Bavi, please refer to the Tropical Cyclone Public Advisory issued by the National Weather Service under WMO header WTPQ31 PGUM and the Tropical Cyclone Warning issued by the Joint Typhoon Warning Center under WMO header WTPN31 PGTW.
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