A tropical cyclone will affect the locality. Winds of 39-61 kph or intermittent rains may be expected within 36 hours. SUPER TYPHOON ROSAL SLIGHTLY WEAKENS AS IT CONTINUES TO MOVE WEST NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE SEA EAST OF NORTHERN LUZON. Location of eye/center : The center of the eye of Super Typhoon ROSAL was estimated based on all available data at at 725 km East of Aparri, Cagayan (18.9, 128.5). Strength : Maximum winds of 205 kph near the centerand gustiness of up to 250 kph. Forecast movement : Forecast to move West Northwestward at 25 kph Forecast position : Oct 22, 2026 02:00 AM - 520 km East of Basco, Batanes Oct 22, 2026 02:00 PM - 370 km East of Basco, Batanes Oct 23, 2026 02:00 AM - 290 km East Northeast of Itbayat, Batanes Oct 23, 2026 02:00 PM - 375 km North Northeast of Itbayat, Batanes Oct 24, 2026 02:00 AM - 530 km North of Itbayat, Batanes (OUTSIDE PAR) Oct 24, 2026 02:00 PM - 790 km North of Itbayat, Batanes (OUTSIDE PAR) HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND AREAS Heavy Rainfall Outlook Refer to Weather Advisory No. 5 issued at 5:00 PM today for the heavy rainfall outlook due to the TC ROSAL. Severe Winds The wind signals warn the public of the general wind threat over an area due to the tropical cyclone. Local winds may be slightly stronger/enhanced in coastal and upland/mountainous areas exposed to winds. Winds are less strong in areas sheltered from the prevailing wind direction. Minor to moderate impacts from gale-force winds are possible within any of the areas under Wind Signal No. 2. Minimal to minor impacts from strong winds are possible within any of the areas under Wind Signal No. 1. The highest Wind Signal that may be raised during the passage of ROSAL is Wind Signal No. 3. The Northeasterly Windflow and the periphery of ROSAL will bring strong to gale-force gusts over the following areas (especially in coastal and upland areas exposed to winds): Today (21 October): Ilocos Region, Cordillera Administrative Region, Cagayan Valley, Bicol Region, Romblon, Eastern Visayas, Siquijor, Bohol, Northern Mindanao, Caraga, Davao Region, Aurora, Quezon and Sarangani. Tomorrow (22 October): Most of Luzon and Visayas, Zamboanga del Norte, Northern Mindanao, Agusan del Norte, Surigao del Norte, Dinagat Islands, Sarangani, Davao Occidental, and Davao Oriental. Friday (23 October): Most of Luzon and Visayas, Zamboanga del Norte, Davao Occidental, and Davao Oriental. HAZARDS AFFECTING COASTAL WATERS A Gale Warning is in effect over the northern and eastern seaboards of Luzon and the eastern seaboard of Visayas. For more details, refer to Gale Warning No. 3 issued at 5:00 PM today 24-Hour Sea Condition Outlook Up to very rough seas over the following coastal waters: Up to 10 m: The northern and eastern seaboards of Batanes; Up to 9.0 m: The remaining seaboard of Batanes; the eastern seaboard of Babuyan Islands. Up to 8.0 m: The northern seaboard of Babuyan Islands; the northeastern seaboard of mainland Cagayan. Up to 7.0 m: The remaining seaboard of mainland Cagayan; the remaining seaboard of Babuyan Islands; the northeastern seaboard of Isabela; Up to 6.0 m: The northern seaboard of Ilocos Norte; the remaining seaboard of Isabela Up to 5.0 m: The northern and eastern seaboards of Catanduanes; the northern seaboard of Ilocos Norte; the northern seaboard of northern Aurora. Up to 4.5 m: The northern and eastern seaboards of Polillo Islands; the northern seaboards of Camarines Norte and Camarines Sur; the remaining seaboard of Aurora; the northern seaboard of Northern Samar; the eastern seaboards of Albay and Sorsogon. Sea travel is risky for all types or tonnage of vessels. All mariners must remain in port or, if underway, seek shelter or safe harbor as soon as possible until winds and waves subside. Up to rough seas over the following coastal waters: Up to 4.0 m: The eastern seaboards of northern Quezon and Eastern Samar; the remaining seaboards of Northern Samar and Ilocos Norte. Up to 3.5: The remaining seaboard of Eastern Samar; the northern seaboard of Ilocos Sur. Up to 3.0 m: The seaboard of La Union; the eastern seaboards of Dinagat Islands and Siargao-Bucas Grande Island Group; the remaining seaboards of Catanduanes and Ilocos Sur; the northern and eastern seaboards of Davao Oriental; the northwestern seaboard of Pangasinan. Mariners of small seacrafts, including all types of motorbancas, are advised not to venture out to sea under these conditions, especially if inexperienced of operating ill-equipped vessels. Up to moderate to rough seas over the following coastal waters: Up to 2.5 m: The seaboards of Surigao del Sur and Surigao del Norte; the southern seaboard of Davao Oriental; the remaining eastern seaboard of Quezon; the remaining seaboards of Ilocos Sur, Dinagat Islands, and Siargao-Bucas Grande Island Group; the remaining seaboard of Pangasinan; the northwestern seaboard of Zambales. Up to 2.0 m: The eastern seaboard of Davao Occidental; the remaining seaboard of Zambales; the western seaboards of Bataan, Batangas, and Cavite; the northwestern seaboard of Occidental Mindoro including Lubang Islands. Mariners of motorbancas and similarly sized vessels are advised to take precautionary measures while venturing out to sea and, if possible, avoid navigation under these conditions. Other coastal waters have forecast wave heights of less than 2.0 m. TRACK AND INTENSITY OUTLOOK It must be emphasized that heavy rainfall and severe winds may still be experienced in localities outside the landfall point and the forecast confidence cone. Refer to “Other Hazards affecting Land Areas” for more details. Furthermore, the track may still shift within the limit of the forecast confidence cone. ROSAL will continue moving west northwestward today, then northwestward tomorrow (22 October). It will begin to turn north northwestward by Friday (23 October) before recurving north northeastward by Saturday (24 October). On the forecast track, the tropical cyclone will be closest to Extreme Northern Luzon between tomorrow afternoon and Friday morning. It will exit the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) by Friday evening or Saturday (24 October) early morning. ROSAL is forecast to gradually weaken into a typhoon by Friday and will continue to weaken near Taiwan due to unfavorable conditions.
Considering these developments, the public and disaster risk reduction and management offices concerned are advised to take all necessary measures to protect life and property. Persons living in areas identified to be highly or very highly susceptible to these hazards are advised to follow evacuation and other instructions from local officials. For heavy rainfall warnings, thunderstorm/rainfall advisories, and other severe weather information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your local PAGASA Regional Services Division.
A tropical cyclone will affect the locality. Winds of 39-61 kph or intermittent rains may be expected within 36 hours. SUPER TYPHOON ROSAL SLIGHTLY WEAKENS AS IT CONTINUES TO MOVE WEST NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE SEA EAST OF NORTHERN LUZON. Location of eye/center : The center of the eye of Super Typhoon ROSAL was estimated based on all available data at at 725 km East of Aparri, Cagayan (18.9, 128.5). Strength : Maximum winds of 205 kph near the centerand gustiness of up to 250 kph. Forecast movement : Forecast to move West Northwestward at 25 kph Forecast position : Oct 22, 2026 02:00 AM - 520 km East of Basco, Batanes Oct 22, 2026 02:00 PM - 370 km East of Basco, Batanes Oct 23, 2026 02:00 AM - 290 km East Northeast of Itbayat, Batanes Oct 23, 2026 02:00 PM - 375 km North Northeast of Itbayat, Batanes Oct 24, 2026 02:00 AM - 530 km North of Itbayat, Batanes (OUTSIDE PAR) Oct 24, 2026 02:00 PM - 790 km North of Itbayat, Batanes (OUTSIDE PAR) HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND AREAS Heavy Rainfall Outlook Refer to Weather Advisory No. 5 issued at 5:00 PM today for the heavy rainfall outlook due to the TC ROSAL. Severe Winds The wind signals warn the public of the general wind threat over an area due to the tropical cyclone. Local winds may be slightly stronger/enhanced in coastal and upland/mountainous areas exposed to winds. Winds are less strong in areas sheltered from the prevailing wind direction. Minor to moderate impacts from gale-force winds are possible within any of the areas under Wind Signal No. 2. Minimal to minor impacts from strong winds are possible within any of the areas under Wind Signal No. 1. The highest Wind Signal that may be raised during the passage of ROSAL is Wind Signal No. 3. The Northeasterly Windflow and the periphery of ROSAL will bring strong to gale-force gusts over the following areas (especially in coastal and upland areas exposed to winds): Today (21 October): Ilocos Region, Cordillera Administrative Region, Cagayan Valley, Bicol Region, Romblon, Eastern Visayas, Siquijor, Bohol, Northern Mindanao, Caraga, Davao Region, Aurora, Quezon and Sarangani. Tomorrow (22 October): Most of Luzon and Visayas, Zamboanga del Norte, Northern Mindanao, Agusan del Norte, Surigao del Norte, Dinagat Islands, Sarangani, Davao Occidental, and Davao Oriental. Friday (23 October): Most of Luzon and Visayas, Zamboanga del Norte, Davao Occidental, and Davao Oriental. HAZARDS AFFECTING COASTAL WATERS A Gale Warning is in effect over the northern and eastern seaboards of Luzon and the eastern seaboard of Visayas. For more details, refer to Gale Warning No. 3 issued at 5:00 PM today 24-Hour Sea Condition Outlook Up to very rough seas over the following coastal waters: Up to 10 m: The northern and eastern seaboards of Batanes; Up to 9.0 m: The remaining seaboard of Batanes; the eastern seaboard of Babuyan Islands. Up to 8.0 m: The northern seaboard of Babuyan Islands; the northeastern seaboard of mainland Cagayan. Up to 7.0 m: The remaining seaboard of mainland Cagayan; the remaining seaboard of Babuyan Islands; the northeastern seaboard of Isabela; Up to 6.0 m: The northern seaboard of Ilocos Norte; the remaining seaboard of Isabela Up to 5.0 m: The northern and eastern seaboards of Catanduanes; the northern seaboard of Ilocos Norte; the northern seaboard of northern Aurora. Up to 4.5 m: The northern and eastern seaboards of Polillo Islands; the northern seaboards of Camarines Norte and Camarines Sur; the remaining seaboard of Aurora; the northern seaboard of Northern Samar; the eastern seaboards of Albay and Sorsogon. Sea travel is risky for all types or tonnage of vessels. All mariners must remain in port or, if underway, seek shelter or safe harbor as soon as possible until winds and waves subside. Up to rough seas over the following coastal waters: Up to 4.0 m: The eastern seaboards of northern Quezon and Eastern Samar; the remaining seaboards of Northern Samar and Ilocos Norte. Up to 3.5: The remaining seaboard of Eastern Samar; the northern seaboard of Ilocos Sur. Up to 3.0 m: The seaboard of La Union; the eastern seaboards of Dinagat Islands and Siargao-Bucas Grande Island Group; the remaining seaboards of Catanduanes and Ilocos Sur; the northern and eastern seaboards of Davao Oriental; the northwestern seaboard of Pangasinan. Mariners of small seacrafts, including all types of motorbancas, are advised not to venture out to sea under these conditions, especially if inexperienced of operating ill-equipped vessels. Up to moderate to rough seas over the following coastal waters: Up to 2.5 m: The seaboards of Surigao del Sur and Surigao del Norte; the southern seaboard of Davao Oriental; the remaining eastern seaboard of Quezon; the remaining seaboards of Ilocos Sur, Dinagat Islands, and Siargao-Bucas Grande Island Group; the remaining seaboard of Pangasinan; the northwestern seaboard of Zambales. Up to 2.0 m: The eastern seaboard of Davao Occidental; the remaining seaboard of Zambales; the western seaboards of Bataan, Batangas, and Cavite; the northwestern seaboard of Occidental Mindoro including Lubang Islands. Mariners of motorbancas and similarly sized vessels are advised to take precautionary measures while venturing out to sea and, if possible, avoid navigation under these conditions. Other coastal waters have forecast wave heights of less than 2.0 m. TRACK AND INTENSITY OUTLOOK It must be emphasized that heavy rainfall and severe winds may still be experienced in localities outside the landfall point and the forecast confidence cone. Refer to “Other Hazards affecting Land Areas” for more details. Furthermore, the track may still shift within the limit of the forecast confidence cone. ROSAL will continue moving west northwestward today, then northwestward tomorrow (22 October). It will begin to turn north northwestward by Friday (23 October) before recurving north northeastward by Saturday (24 October). On the forecast track, the tropical cyclone will be closest to Extreme Northern Luzon between tomorrow afternoon and Friday morning. It will exit the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) by Friday evening or Saturday (24 October) early morning. ROSAL is forecast to gradually weaken into a typhoon by Friday and will continue to weaken near Taiwan due to unfavorable conditions.
Considering these developments, the public and disaster risk reduction and management offices concerned are advised to take all necessary measures to protect life and property. Persons living in areas identified to be highly or very highly susceptible to these hazards are advised to follow evacuation and other instructions from local officials. For heavy rainfall warnings, thunderstorm/rainfall advisories, and other severe weather information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your local PAGASA Regional Services Division.
A tropical cyclone will affect the locality. Winds of 39-61 kph or intermittent rains may be expected within 36 hours. ROSAL IS NOW BEGINNING TO MOVE NORTHWESTWARD WHILE OVER THE SEA EAST OF EXTREME NORTHERN LUZON. Location of eye/center : The center of the eye of Super Typhoon ROSAL was estimated based on all available data at at 645 km East of Calayan, Cagayan (19.5, 127.6). Strength : Maximum winds of 205 kph near the centerand gustiness of up to 250 kph. Forecast movement : Forecast to move Northwestward at 20 kph Forecast position : Oct 22, 2026 08:00 AM - 450 km East of Basco, Batanes Oct 22, 2026 08:00 PM - 335 km East Northeast of Itbayat, Batanes Oct 23, 2026 08:00 AM - 325 km Northeast of Itbayat, Batanes Oct 23, 2026 08:00 PM - 465 km North Northeast of Itbayat, Batanes Oct 24, 2026 08:00 AM - 645 km North of Itbayat, Batanes (OUTSIDE PAR) Oct 24, 2026 08:00 PM - 895 km North Northeast of Extreme Northern Luzon (OUTSIDE PAR) HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND AREAS Heavy Rainfall Outlook Refer to Weather Advisory No. 6 issued at 11:00 PM today for the heavy rainfall outlook due to the TC ROSAL. Severe Winds The wind signals warn the public of the general wind threat over an area due to the tropical cyclone. Local winds may be slightly stronger/enhanced in coastal and upland/mountainous areas exposed to winds. Winds are less strong in areas sheltered from the prevailing wind direction. Minor to moderate impacts from gale-force winds are possible within any of the areas under Wind Signal No. 2. Minimal to minor impacts from strong winds are possible within any of the areas under Wind Signal No. 1. The highest Wind Signal that may be raised during the passage of ROSAL is Wind Signal No. 3, which is likely to be hoisted over Batanes. However, if ROSAL will move a more north northwestward track, hoisting of Wind Signal No. 3 will become less likely. The Northeasterly Windflow and the periphery of ROSAL will bring strong to gale-force gusts over the following areas (especially in coastal and upland areas exposed to winds): Today (21 October): Ilocos Region, Cordillera Administrative Region, Cagayan Valley, Bicol Region, Romblon, Eastern Visayas, Siquijor, Bohol, Northern Mindanao, Caraga, Davao Region, Aurora, Quezon, and Sarangani. Tomorrow (22 October): Most of Luzon and Visayas, Zamboanga del Norte, Northern Mindanao, Agusan del Norte, Surigao del Norte, Dinagat Islands, Sarangani, Davao Occidental, and Davao Oriental. Friday (23 October): Most of Luzon and Visayas, Zamboanga del Norte, Davao Occidental, and Davao Oriental. HAZARDS AFFECTING COASTAL WATERS A Gale Warning is in effect over the northern and eastern seaboards of Luzon and the eastern seaboard of Visayas. For more details, refer to Gale Warning No. 3 issued at 5:00 PM today. 24-Hour Sea Condition Outlook Up to very rough, high, or very high seas over the following coastal waters: Up to 10 m: The seaboards of Batanes. Up to 9.0 m: The eastern seaboard of Babuyan Islands. Up to 8.0 m: The seaboards of mainland Cagayan. Up to 7.0 m: The remaining seaboards of Babuyan Islands; the seaboard of Isabela. Up to 6.0 m: The northern seaboard of Ilocos Norte. Up to 5.0 m: The northern and eastern seaboards of Catanduanes; the eastern seaboard of northern Aurora. Up to 4.5 m: The remaining seaboards of Ilocos Norte and Aurora; the northern and eastern seaboards of Polillo Islands; the northern seaboards of Camarines Norte, Camarines Sur, and Northern Samar; the eastern seaboards of Albay and Sorsogon. Sea travel is risky for all types or tonnage of vessels. All mariners must remain in port or, if underway, seek shelter or safe harbor as soon as possible until winds and waves subside. Up to rough seas over the following coastal waters: Up to 4.0 m: The eastern seaboard of northern Quezon; the remaining seaboard of Northern Samar. Up to 3.5 m: The seaboard of Ilocos Sur; the eastern seaboard of Eastern Samar. Up to 3.0 m: The seaboard of La Union; the eastern seaboards of Dinagat Islands and Siargao-Bucas Grande Island Group; the remaining seaboards of Catanduanes; the northwestern seaboard of Pangasinan. Mariners of small seacrafts, including all types of motorbancas, are advised not to venture out to sea under these conditions, especially if inexperienced of operating ill-equipped vessels. Up to moderate to rough seas over the following coastal waters: Up to 2.5 m: The eastern seaboards of Surigao del Sur and Davao Oriental; the remaining eastern seaboard of Quezon. Up to 2.0 m: The seaboard of Zambales; the western seaboard of Bataan and Batangas; the northern and western seaboards of Lubang Islands; the southern seaboard of Davao Oriental. Mariners of motorbancas and similarly sized vessels are advised to take precautionary measures while venturing out to sea and, if possible, avoid navigation under these conditions. Other coastal waters have forecast wave heights of less than 2.0 m. TRACK AND INTENSITY OUTLOOK It must be emphasized that heavy rainfall and severe winds may still be experienced in localities outside the landfall point and the forecast confidence cone. Refer to “Other Hazards affecting Land Areas” for more details. Furthermore, the track may still shift within the limit of the forecast confidence cone. ROSAL will continue moving northwestward until tomorrow (22 October). It will begin to turn north northwestward by Friday (23 October) before recurving north northeastward by Saturday (24 October). On the forecast track, the tropical cyclone will be closest to Extreme Northern Luzon between tomorrow afternoon and Friday morning. It will exit the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) by Friday evening or Saturday (24 October) early morning. ROSAL will continue to gradually weaken and may be downgraded into a typhoon tomorrow. By Saturday, the tropical cyclone will begin to rapidly weaken and may be downgraded into a severe tropical storm.
Considering these developments, the public and disaster risk reduction and management offices concerned are advised to take all necessary measures to protect life and property. Persons living in areas identified to be highly or very highly susceptible to these hazards are advised to follow evacuation and other instructions from local officials. For heavy rainfall warnings, thunderstorm/rainfall advisories, and other severe weather information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your local PAGASA Regional Services Division.
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