Under present weather conditions, At 3:00 PM today, the center of Tropical Depression "CRISING" was estimated based on all available data at 640 km East of Virac, Catanduanes (13.5°N, 130.1°E), with maximum sustained winds of 45 km/h near the center and gustiness of up to 55 km/h. It is moving West Southwestward at 20 km/h. Southwest Monsoon affecting the rest of the country. The 12-hour rainfall forecast is light to moderate rains and thunderstorms. WATERCOURSES LIKELY TO BE AFFECTED : + **Negros Oriental** - Rivers and its tributaries particularly La Libertad, Tanjay, Candugay, Siaton, Cawitan, Sipocong, Bayawan, Pagatban and Lower Tabanan. + **Siquijor** - All rivers and its tributaries + **Bohol** - Rivers and its tributaries particularly Inabanga, Ipil, Matulid, Loboc and Abatan. + **Cebu** - Rivers and its tributaries particularly Kotkot, Mananga, Guinabasan, Balamban and Sabangdaku.
People living near the mountain slopes and in the low lying areas of the above mentioned river systems and the **Local Disaster Risk Reduction and Management Councils** concerned still advised to take necessary precautionary measures.
“CRISING” MOVES WEST SOUTHWESTWARD OVER THE EAST OF CATANDUANES. Location of eye/center : The center of Tropical Depression CRISING was estimated based on all available data at at 625 km East of Virac, Catanduanes (13.5, 130.0). Strength : Maximum winds of 45 kph near the centerand gustiness of up to 55 kph. Forecast movement : Forecast to move West Southwestward at 20 kph Forecast position : Jul 17, 2025 02:00 AM - 510 km East of Virac, Catanduanes Jul 17, 2025 02:00 PM - 585 km East of Infanta, Quezon Jul 18, 2025 02:00 AM - 380 km East of Casiguran, Aurora Jul 18, 2025 02:00 PM - 200 km East Northeast of Tuguegarao City, Cagayan Jul 19, 2025 02:00 AM - Over the coastal waters of Aparri, Cagayan Jul 19, 2025 02:00 PM - 250 km West of Calayan, Cagayan Jul 20, 2025 02:00 PM - 730 km West of Basco, Batanes (OUTSIDE PAR) Jul 21, 2025 02:00 PM - 1,025 km West of Extreme Northern Luzon (OUTSIDE PAR) HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND AREAS Heavy Rainfall Outlook Refer to Weather Advisory No. 5 issued at 5:00 PM today for the heavy rainfall outlook due to Tropical Cyclone CRISING and the Southwest Monsoon. Severe Winds Tropical Cyclone Wind Signal No. 1 may be hoisted over portions of Cagayan Valley by tonight or tomorrow (17 July) early morning. Should CRISING maintain its westward movement or increase its radius, the possibility of raising Tropical Cyclone Wind Signal No. 1 over Catanduanes is also not ruled out. Furthermore, the highest Wind Signal which may be hoisted during the occurrence of CRISING is Wind Signal No. 3 or 4. The southwest monsoon will bring strong to gale-force gusts over the following areas (especially in coastal and upland areas exposed to winds): Today: Palawan, Siquijor, Bohol, Camiguin, Southern Leyte, Surigao del Norte, and Dinagat Islands. Tomorrow (17 July): Batangas, Quezon, Bicol Region, MIMAROPA, Visayas, Zamboanga del Norte, Camiguin, Surigao del Norte, Dinagat Islands, Davao Occidental, and Davao Oriental. Friday (18 July):Bataan, Metro Manila, CALABARZON, Bicol Region, MIMAROPA, Visayas, Zamboanga Peninsula, Basilan, Sulu, Tawi-Tawi, Misamis Occidental, Lanao del Norte, Camiguin, Surigao del Norte, Dinagat Islands, Davao Occidental, and Davao Oriental. HAZARDS AFFECTING COASTAL WATERS 24-Hour Sea Condition Outlook Up to rough seas over the following coastal waters: Up to 2.5 m: The western seaboard of Palawan; the northern and eastern seaboards of Catanduanes; the northern and western seaboards of Zamboanga del Norte and Camiguin; the southern seaboards of Negros Oriental, Siquijor, Bohol and Southern Leyte; the eastern seaboards of Davao Region; and the seaboards of Surigao del Norte and Dinagat Islands. Up to moderate seas over the following coastal waters: Up to 2.0 m: The northwestern seaboard of Occidental Mindoro; the southwestern seaboards of Antique and Negros Occidental; the eastern seaboards of Northern and Eastern Samar. Mariners of motorbancas and similarly-sized vessels are advised to take precautionary measures while venturing out to sea and, if possible, avoid navigation under these conditions. TRACK AND INTENSITY OUTLOOK CRISING will move generally westward over the next 12 hours before moving northwestward from tomorrow (17 July) afternoon until Friday (18 July) afternoon. It may pass close or make landfall over mainland Cagayan or Babuyan Islands from Friday evening to Saturday (19 July) early morning. Afterwards, it will move west northwestward and may exit the Philippine Area of Responsibility on Saturday afternoon or evening. CRISING is forecast to reach Tropical Storm category tomorrow morning. It is forecast to continue intensifying over the Philippine Sea and may reach Severe Tropical Storm category on Friday afternoon or evening, before its approach to Northern Luzon. Further intensification up to Typhoon category prior to approach is also not ruled out.
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