Under present weather conditions, At 3:00 AM today, the center of Tropical Storm "RAMIL" was estimated based on all available data at 355 km West Northwest of Dagupan City, Pangasinan or 340 km West of Sinait, Ilocos Sur (17.4°N, 117.3°E), with maximum sustained winds of 65 km/h near the center and gustiness of up to 80 km/h. It is moving Northwestward at 25 km/h. The 12-hour rainfall forecast is light to moderate rains and thunderstorms. WATERCOURSES LIKELY TO BE AFFECTED : + **Ifugao** - All rivers and its tributaries + **Benguet** - Rivers and its tributaries particularly Upper Bauang. + **Apayao** - Rivers and its tributaries particularly Upper Abulug and Upper Pamplona. + **Kalinga** - All rivers and its tributaries + **Abra** - Rivers and its tributaries particularly Upper Abra, Tineg and Ikmin. + **Mountain Province** - All rivers and its tributaries
People living near the mountain slopes and in the low lying areas of the above mentioned river systems and the **Local Disaster Risk Reduction and Management Councils** concerned still advised to be alert for possible flashfloods and landslides.
“RAMIL” FURTHER INTENSIFIES OUTSIDE THE PHILIPPINE AREA OF RESPONSIBILITY. Location of eye/center : The center of Tropical Storm RAMIL was estimated based on all available data at at 440 km West of Sinait, Ilocos Sur (18.1, 116.3). Strength : Maximum winds of 85 kph near the centerand gustiness of up to 105 kph. Forecast movement : Forecast to move Northwestward at 25 kph Forecast position : Oct 20, 2025 08:00 PM - 675 km West of Sinait, Ilocos Sur (OUTSIDE PAR) Oct 21, 2025 08:00 AM - 835 km West of Northern Luzon (OUTSIDE PAR) Oct 21, 2025 08:00 PM - 915 km West of Northern Luzon (OUTSIDE PAR) Oct 22, 2025 08:00 AM - 990 km West of Central Luzon (OUTSIDE PAR) Oct 22, 2025 08:00 PM - 1,100 km West of Central Luzon (OUTSIDE PAR) HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND AREAS Severe Winds The trough and outer rainbands of RAMIL and the easterlies will also bring strong to gale-force gusts over the following areas (especially in coastal and upland areas exposed to winds): Today: Ilocos Region, Cordillera Administrative Region, Cagayan Valley, Central Luzon, and Occidental Mindoro. HAZARDS AFFECTING COASTAL WATERS 24-Hour Sea Condition Outlook Up to rough seas over the following coastal waters: Up to 3.0 m: The northwestern seaboard of Ilocos Norte; the western seaboard of Pangasinan. Mariners of small seacrafts, including all types of motorbancas, are advised not to venture out to sea under these conditions, especially if inexperienced of operating ill-equipped vessels. Up to moderate seas over the following coastal waters: Up to 2.5 m: The seaboards of Batanes, Cagayan including Babuyan Islands, Isabela, and Zambales; the western seaboard of Pangasinan; the remaining seaboards of Ilocos Norte Up to 2.0 m: The seaboards of Ilocos Sur, La Union, and Aurora; the northern seaboards of Camarines Norte and Camarines Sur; the northern and eastern seaboards of Catanduanes; the western seaboard of Bataan; the remaining seaboards of Pangasinan Mariners of motorbancas and similarly sized vessels are advised to take precautionary measures while venturing out to sea and, if possible, avoid navigation under these conditions. TRACK AND INTENSITY OUTLOOK Outside PAR, RAMIL will move northwestward to westward today before turning west southwestward to southwestward tomorrow (21 October) early morning. RAMIL is forecast to reach severe tropical storm category within the next 12 hours while outside the PAR Region.
A tropical cyclone will affect the locality. Winds of 39-61 kph or intermittent rains may be expected within 36 hours. “RAMIL” IS ABOUT TO EXIT THE PHILIPPINE AREA OF RESPONSIBILITY. Location of eye/center : The center of Tropical Storm RAMIL was estimated based on all available data at at 350 km West of Sinait, Ilocos Sur (17.5, 117.2). Strength : Maximum winds of 65 kph near the centerand gustiness of up to 80 kph. Forecast movement : Forecast to move Northwestward at 25 kph Forecast position : Oct 20, 2025 02:00 PM - 600 km West of Sinait, Ilocos Sur (OUTSIDE PAR) Oct 21, 2025 02:00 AM - 715 km West of Sinait, Ilocos Sur (OUTSIDE PAR) Oct 21, 2025 02:00 PM - 800 km West of Northern Luzon (OUTSIDE PAR) Oct 22, 2025 02:00 AM - 905 km West of Northern Luzon (OUTSIDE PAR) Oct 22, 2025 02:00 PM - 1,035 km West of Northern Luzon (OUTSIDE PAR) Oct 23, 2025 02:00 AM - 1,100 km West of Central Luzon (OUTSIDE PAR) HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND AREAS Severe Winds The wind signals warn the public of the general wind threat over an area due to the tropical cyclone. Local winds may be slightly stronger/enhanced in coastal and upland/mountainous areas exposed to winds. Winds are less strong in areas sheltered from the prevailing wind direction. Minimal to minor impacts from strong winds are possible within any of the areas under Wind Signal No. 1. Furthermore, the trough and outer rainbands of RAMIL and the easterlies will also bring strong to gale-force gusts over the following areas not under Wind Signal (especially in coastal and upland areas exposed to winds): Today: Ilocos Region, Cordillera Administrative Region, Cagayan Valley, Central Luzon, and Occidental Mindoro. Coastal Inundation There is a minimal to moderate risk of storm surge with peak heights of 1.0 to 2.0 m within 12 hours over the low-lying or exposed coastal localities of La Union, Pangasinan, Zambales, and Bataan. Refer to Storm Surge Warning No. 12 issued at 2:00 AM today for the details. HAZARDS AFFECTING COASTAL WATERS 24-Hour Sea Condition Outlook Up to rough seas over the following coastal waters: Up to 3.0 m: The northwestern seaboard of Ilocos Norte Mariners of small seacrafts, including all types of motorbancas, are advised not to venture out to sea under these conditions, especially if inexperienced of operating ill-equipped vessels. Up to moderate seas over the following coastal waters: Up to 2.5 m: The seaboards of Batanes, Cagayan including Babuyan Islands, Isabela, and Zambales; the western seaboard of Pangasinan; the remaining seaboards of Ilocos Norte Up to 2.0 m: The seaboards of Ilocos Sur, La Union, and Aurora; the northern seaboards of Camarines Norte and Camarines Sur; the northern and eastern seaboards of Catanduanes; the western seaboard of Bataan; the remaining seaboards of Pangasinan Mariners of motorbancas and similarly sized vessels are advised to take precautionary measures while venturing out to sea and, if possible, avoid navigation under these conditions. TRACK AND INTENSITY OUTLOOK On the forecast track, RAMIL will continue moving west northwestward over the West Philippine Sea. It is forecast to exit the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) this morning. RAMIL may re-intensify while over the West Philippine Sea and is forecast to reach severe tropical storm category once outside the PAR Region.
Considering these developments, the public and disaster risk reduction and management offices concerned are advised to take all necessary measures to protect life and property. Persons living in areas identified to be highly or very highly susceptible to these hazards are advised to follow evacuation and other instructions from local officials. For heavy rainfall warnings, thunderstorm/rainfall advisories, and other severe weather information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your local PAGASA Regional Services Division.
From 18/10/2025 to 18/10/2025, a Tropical Depression (maximum wind speed of 130 km/h) FENGSHEN-25 was active in NWPacific. The cyclone affects these countries: Philippines, Taiwan, China, Viet Nam, Cambodia, Laos, Thailand (vulnerability High). Estimated population affected by category 1 (120 km/h) wind speeds or higher is 0 (196.601 million in tropical storm).
Više od 80 zvaničnih agencija širom sveta daje meteoblue upozorenja o teškim vremenskim prilikama. Meteoblue ne snosi nikakvu odgovornost u pogledu stvarnog sadržaja ili prirode upozorenja. Problemi se mogu prijaviti putem našeg obrasca za povratne informacije i biće prosleđeni odgovarajućim instancama.
