Zvanična upozorenja o teškim vremenskim prilikama u blizini Oton

Under present weather conditions, At 3:00 AM today, the Low Pressure Area (LPA) was estimated based on all available data at 975 km East of Southeastern Luzon (13.9°N, 133.2°E). Southwest Monsoon affecting the rest of the country. The 12-hour rainfall forecast is light to moderate rains and thunderstorms. WATERCOURSES LIKELY TO BE AFFECTED : + **Capiz** - Rivers and its tributaries particularly Panay, Mambusao, Panay Malinao, Alingon and Balantian. + **Antique** - Rivers and its tributaries particularly Sibalom, Ipayo, Cagaranan, Palawan, Cairauan, Dalanas and Tibiao. + **Negros Occidental** - Rivers and its tributaries particularly Malogo, Sicaba, Grande, Himogaan, Danao, Upper Tabanan, Sipalay and Lower Ilog. + **Aklan** - Rivers and its tributaries particularly Ibajay, Aklan and Jalo. + **Guimaras** - All rivers and its tributaries + **Iloilo** - Rivers and its tributaries particularly Pinantan, Barotac, Akalaygan, Jalaud, Jalano, Jagdong, Jalaur, Lamunan, Jaro-Aganan, Sibalom and Guimbal.

THE LOW PRESSURE AREA EAST OF CATANDUANES HAS DEVELOPED INTO TROPICAL DEPRESSION “CRISING”. Location of eye/center : The center of the eye was estimated based on all available data at 725 km East of Virac, Catanduanes (14.0, 130.9). Strength : Maximum winds of 45 kph near the centerand gustiness of up to 55 kph. Forecast movement : Forecast to move Westward at 35 kph Forecast position : Jul 16, 2025 08:00 PM - 665 km East of Virac, Catanduanes Jul 17, 2025 08:00 AM - 695 km East of Baler, Aurora Jul 17, 2025 08:00 PM - 500 km East of Casiguran, Aurora Jul 18, 2025 08:00 AM - 355 km East Northeast of Casiguran, Aurora Jul 18, 2025 08:00 PM - Over the coastal waters of Santa Ana, Cagayan Jul 19, 2025 08:00 AM - 125 km West of Calayan, Cagayan Jul 20, 2025 08:00 AM - 625 km West of Basco, Batanes (OUTSIDE PAR) Jul 21, 2025 08:00 AM - 980 km West of Extreme Northern Luzon (OUTSIDE PAR) HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND AREAS Heavy Rainfall Outlook Refer to Weather Advisory No. 4 issued at 11:00 AM today for the heavy rainfall outlook due to Tropical Depression CRISING and the Southwest Monsoon. Severe Winds The southwest monsoon will bring strong to gale-force gusts over the following areas (especially in coastal and upland areas exposed to winds): Today: Palawan, Camiguin, Southern Leyte, Surigao del Norte, and Dinagat Islands. Tomorrow (17 July): Quezon, Bicol Region, MIMAROPA, Visayas, Camiguin, Zamboanga del Norte, Surigao del Norte, and Dinagat Islands. Friday (18 July): Quezon, Bicol Region, MIMAROPA, Visayas, Camiguin, Zamboanga del Norte, Surigao del Norte, Dinagat Islands, and Davao Region. HAZARDS AFFECTING COASTAL WATERS 24-Hour Sea Condition Outlook Up to moderate seas over the following coastal waters: Up to 2.5 m: The seaboards of Palawan, Negros Oriental, and Zamboanga del Norte. Up to 2.0 m: The seaboards of Occidental Mindoro, Antique, Negros Occidental, Negros Oriental, Bohol, Camiguin, Surigao del Norte, Dinagat Islands, and Davao Region. Mariners of motorbancas and similarly-sized vessels are advised to take precautionary measures while venturing out to sea and, if possible, avoid navigation under these conditions. TRACK AND INTENSITY OUTLOOK Tropical Depression CRISING will move generally west northwestward to northwestward over the entire forecast period. It is closest to Northern Luzon by Friday (18 July) evening and may pass close or make landfall over Babuyan Islands. A slight change in the succeeding forecast track may also suggest a landfall scenario over mainland Cagayan. CRISING is forecast to reach Tropical Storm category by tomorrow (17 July) morning. It is forecast to continue intensifying over the Philippine Sea and may reach Severe Tropical Storm category by Friday afternoon or evening, prior to its approach to Northern Luzon area. Further intensification up to Typhoon category prior to approach is not ruled out.