Under present weather conditions, At 3:00 PM today, the center of Tropical Storm "ADA" {NOKAEN} was estimated based on all available data over the coastal waters of Bagamanoc, Catanduanes (14.2°N, 124.5°E) with maximum sustained winds of 85 km/h near the center and gustiness of up to 105 km/h. It is moving North Northwestward at 10 km/h. Northeast Monsoon affecting Northern Luzon. The 12-hour rainfall forecast is moderate to occasionally heavy rains . WATERCOURSES LIKELY TO BE AFFECTED : + **Northern Samar** - Rivers and its tributaries particularly Catarman, Bugko, Pambujan, Catubig, Palapag, Mawo and Gamay. + **Southern Leyte** - Rivers and its tributaries particularly Bisay, Himbangan and Pandan. + **Eastern Samar** - Rivers and its tributaries particularly Oras, Dolores, Ulot, Taft, Borongan, Suribao, Llorente, Balangiga and Sulat. + **Leyte** - Rivers and its tributaries particularly Sangputan, Palo, Solano (Quilot), Daguitan Marabang, Cadac-an, Bongquirogon, Salug, Pagbangahan, Pagsangahan and Binahaan. + **Samar** - Rivers and its tributaries particularly Basey, Silanga, Calbiga and Jibatan. + **Biliran** - All rivers and its tributaries
People living near the mountain slopes and in the low lying areas of the above mentioned river systems and the **Local Disaster Risk Reduction and Management Councils** concerned still advised to take appropriate actions.
A tropical cyclone will affect the locality. Winds of 39-61 kph or intermittent rains may be expected within 36 hours. “ADA” MAINTAINS ITS STRENGTH AND IS NOW OVER THE COASTAL WATERS OF CATANDUANES. Location of eye/center : The center of Tropical Storm ADA was estimated based on all available data at over the coastal waters of Baras, Catanduanes (13.7, 124.9). Strength : Maximum winds of 85 kph near the centerand gustiness of up to 115 kph. Forecast movement : Forecast to move Northwestward at 25 kph Forecast position : Jan 17, 2026 08:00 PM - 135 km East of Daet, Camarines Norte Jan 18, 2026 08:00 AM - 275 km East of Infanta, Quezon Jan 18, 2026 08:00 PM - 330 km East of Baler, Aurora Jan 19, 2026 08:00 AM - 370 km East of Casiguran, Aurora Jan 19, 2026 08:00 PM - 445 km East of Casiguran, Aurora Jan 20, 2026 08:00 AM - 520 km East of Casiguran, Aurora Jan 21, 2026 08:00 AM - 530 km East of Daet, Camarines Norte Jan 22, 2026 08:00 AM - 280 km East of Catarman, Northern Samar HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND AREAS Heavy Rainfall Outlook Refer to Weather Advisory No. 13 issued at 11:00 AM today for the heavy rainfall outlook due to Tropical Cyclone ADA. Severe Winds The wind signals warn the public of the general wind threat over an area due to the tropical cyclone. Local winds may be slightly stronger/enhanced in coastal and upland/mountainous areas exposed to winds. Winds are less strong in areas sheltered from the prevailing wind direction. Minor to moderate impacts from gale-force winds are possible within any of the areas under Wind Signal No. 2. Minimal to minor impacts from strong winds are possible within any of the areas under Wind Signal No. 1. Since further intensification to severe tropical storm is not ruled out, raising of Wind Signal No. 3 is possible. The Northeast Monsoon and the periphery of ADA will also bring strong to gale-force gusts over the following areas (especially in coastal and upland areas exposed to winds): Today: Batanes, Babuyan Islands, Ilocos Norte, northern and eastern mainland Cagayan, Isabela, Quirino, Aurora, Quezon, Romblon, Oriental Mindoro, Aklan, Capiz, northern Cebu, Eastern Visayas, and Dinagat Islands Tomorrow (18 January): Batanes, Cagayan, Isabela, Quirino, Ilocos Norte, Abra, Aurora, Quezon, Marinduque, Romblon, Bicol Region, and Northern Samar Monday (19 January): Batanes, Cagayan, Isabela, Ilocos Norte, Abra, Aurora, Polillo Islands, Camarines Norte, Camarines Sur, and Catanduanes. Coastal Flooding There is a minimal to moderate risk of storm surge with peak heights reaching up to 2.0 m within the next 48 hours over the low-lying or exposed coastal communities of Camarines Norte, Camarines Sur, Catanduanes, Albay, Sorsogon, Masbate, Northern Samar, Eastern Samar, Samar, and Biliran. Refer to Storm Surge Warning No. 7 issued at 8:00 AM today for more details. HAZARDS AFFECTING COASTAL WATERS A Gale Warning is in effect over the eastern seaboards of Southern Luzon and Visayas. For more details, refer to Gale Warning No. 4A issued at 11:00 AM today. 24-Hour Sea Condition Outlook Up to very rough seas over the following coastal waters: Up to 5.0 m: The seaboard of Camarines Norte; the northern seaboard of Camarines Sur; the northern and eastern seaboards of Catanduanes. Up to 4.5 m: The seaboards of Isabela and northern Aurora; the northern and eastern seaboards of Polillo Islands and Northern Samar; the eastern seaboards of Albay and Sorsogon. Sea travel is risky for all types or tonnage of vessels. All mariners must remain in port or, if underway, seek shelter or safe harbor as soon as possible until winds and waves subside. Up to rough seas over the following coastal waters: Up to 4.0 m: The seaboard of Babuyan Islands; the eastern seaboard of mainland Cagayan. Up to 3.5 m: The seaboard of Batanes and northern mainland Quezon; the remaining seaboard of Aurora; the eastern seaboard of Eastern Samar. Up to 3.0 m: The seaboards of Ilocos Norte and Ilocos Sur; the remaining seaboard of mainland Cagayan. Mariners of small seacrafts, including all types of motorbancas, are advised not to venture out to sea under these conditions, especially if inexperienced or operating ill-equipped vessels. Up to moderate seas over the following coastal waters: Up to 2.5 m: The remaining seaboard of Quezon; the eastern seaboard of Dinagat Islands; the northern and eastern seaboards of Siargao-Bucas Grande Islands. Up to 2.0 m: The seaboards of Oriental Mindoro, Marinduque, Romblon, Cuyo Islands, Cagayancillo Islands, Kalayaan Islands, Antique, Aklan, Capiz, northern mainland Cebu, Bantayan Islands, Biliran, Surigao del Sur, and Davao Occidental; the western seaboards of Calamian Islands, mainland Palawan, and Samar; the eastern seaboard of Davao Oriental; the northern seaboard of Leyte; the remaining seaboards of Ilocos Region, Bicol Region, Northern Samar Mariners of motorbancas and similarly sized vessels are advised to take precautionary measures while venturing out to sea and, if possible, avoid navigation under these conditions. Other coastal waters have wave heights of less than 2.0 m. TRACK AND INTENSITY OUTLOOK It must be emphasized that heavy rainfall and severe winds may still be experienced in localities outside the landfall point and the forecast confidence cone. Refer to “Other Hazards affecting Land Areas” for more details. Furthermore, the track may still shift within the limit of the forecast confidence cone. ADA will move generally northwestward today before slowly turning northward to northeastward tomorrow (18 January). From tomorrow onwards, ADA is forecast to move slowly in a looping pattern over the sea east of Southern Luzon. A further westward shift in the forecast track may result in a possible landfall over Catanduanes. Furthermore, changes in forecast track over the succeeding bulletins is possible. ADA is forecast to remain as a tropical storm while moving over the sea east of Southern Luzon. However, further intensification to severe tropical storm is not ruled out. This tropical cyclone will then weaken into a tropical depression by Tuesday (20 January) afternoon or evening due to the effects of the surge of the northeast monsoon.
Considering these developments, the public and disaster risk reduction and management offices concerned are advised to take all necessary measures to protect life and property. Persons living in areas identified to be highly or very highly susceptible to these hazards are advised to follow evacuation and other instructions from local officials. For heavy rainfall warnings, thunderstorm/rainfall advisories, and other severe weather information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your local PAGASA Regional Services Division.
A tropical cyclone will affect the locality. Winds of 39-61 kph or intermittent rains may be expected within 36 hours. “ADA” MAINTAINS ITS STRENGTH AND IS NOW OVER THE COASTAL WATERS OF CATANDUANES. Location of eye/center : The center of Tropical Storm ADA was estimated based on all available data at over the coastal waters of Baras, Catanduanes (13.7, 124.9). Strength : Maximum winds of 85 kph near the centerand gustiness of up to 115 kph. Forecast movement : Forecast to move Northwestward at 25 kph Forecast position : Jan 17, 2026 08:00 PM - 135 km East of Daet, Camarines Norte Jan 18, 2026 08:00 AM - 275 km East of Infanta, Quezon Jan 18, 2026 08:00 PM - 330 km East of Baler, Aurora Jan 19, 2026 08:00 AM - 370 km East of Casiguran, Aurora Jan 19, 2026 08:00 PM - 445 km East of Casiguran, Aurora Jan 20, 2026 08:00 AM - 520 km East of Casiguran, Aurora Jan 21, 2026 08:00 AM - 530 km East of Daet, Camarines Norte Jan 22, 2026 08:00 AM - 280 km East of Catarman, Northern Samar HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND AREAS Heavy Rainfall Outlook Refer to Weather Advisory No. 13 issued at 11:00 AM today for the heavy rainfall outlook due to Tropical Cyclone ADA. Severe Winds The wind signals warn the public of the general wind threat over an area due to the tropical cyclone. Local winds may be slightly stronger/enhanced in coastal and upland/mountainous areas exposed to winds. Winds are less strong in areas sheltered from the prevailing wind direction. Minor to moderate impacts from gale-force winds are possible within any of the areas under Wind Signal No. 2. Minimal to minor impacts from strong winds are possible within any of the areas under Wind Signal No. 1. Since further intensification to severe tropical storm is not ruled out, raising of Wind Signal No. 3 is possible. The Northeast Monsoon and the periphery of ADA will also bring strong to gale-force gusts over the following areas (especially in coastal and upland areas exposed to winds): Today: Batanes, Babuyan Islands, Ilocos Norte, northern and eastern mainland Cagayan, Isabela, Quirino, Aurora, Quezon, Romblon, Oriental Mindoro, Aklan, Capiz, northern Cebu, Eastern Visayas, and Dinagat Islands Tomorrow (18 January): Batanes, Cagayan, Isabela, Quirino, Ilocos Norte, Abra, Aurora, Quezon, Marinduque, Romblon, Bicol Region, and Northern Samar Monday (19 January): Batanes, Cagayan, Isabela, Ilocos Norte, Abra, Aurora, Polillo Islands, Camarines Norte, Camarines Sur, and Catanduanes. Coastal Flooding There is a minimal to moderate risk of storm surge with peak heights reaching up to 2.0 m within the next 48 hours over the low-lying or exposed coastal communities of Camarines Norte, Camarines Sur, Catanduanes, Albay, Sorsogon, Masbate, Northern Samar, Eastern Samar, Samar, and Biliran. Refer to Storm Surge Warning No. 7 issued at 8:00 AM today for more details. HAZARDS AFFECTING COASTAL WATERS A Gale Warning is in effect over the eastern seaboards of Southern Luzon and Visayas. For more details, refer to Gale Warning No. 4A issued at 11:00 AM today. 24-Hour Sea Condition Outlook Up to very rough seas over the following coastal waters: Up to 5.0 m: The seaboard of Camarines Norte; the northern seaboard of Camarines Sur; the northern and eastern seaboards of Catanduanes. Up to 4.5 m: The seaboards of Isabela and northern Aurora; the northern and eastern seaboards of Polillo Islands and Northern Samar; the eastern seaboards of Albay and Sorsogon. Sea travel is risky for all types or tonnage of vessels. All mariners must remain in port or, if underway, seek shelter or safe harbor as soon as possible until winds and waves subside. Up to rough seas over the following coastal waters: Up to 4.0 m: The seaboard of Babuyan Islands; the eastern seaboard of mainland Cagayan. Up to 3.5 m: The seaboard of Batanes and northern mainland Quezon; the remaining seaboard of Aurora; the eastern seaboard of Eastern Samar. Up to 3.0 m: The seaboards of Ilocos Norte and Ilocos Sur; the remaining seaboard of mainland Cagayan. Mariners of small seacrafts, including all types of motorbancas, are advised not to venture out to sea under these conditions, especially if inexperienced or operating ill-equipped vessels. Up to moderate seas over the following coastal waters: Up to 2.5 m: The remaining seaboard of Quezon; the eastern seaboard of Dinagat Islands; the northern and eastern seaboards of Siargao-Bucas Grande Islands. Up to 2.0 m: The seaboards of Oriental Mindoro, Marinduque, Romblon, Cuyo Islands, Cagayancillo Islands, Kalayaan Islands, Antique, Aklan, Capiz, northern mainland Cebu, Bantayan Islands, Biliran, Surigao del Sur, and Davao Occidental; the western seaboards of Calamian Islands, mainland Palawan, and Samar; the eastern seaboard of Davao Oriental; the northern seaboard of Leyte; the remaining seaboards of Ilocos Region, Bicol Region, Northern Samar Mariners of motorbancas and similarly sized vessels are advised to take precautionary measures while venturing out to sea and, if possible, avoid navigation under these conditions. Other coastal waters have wave heights of less than 2.0 m. TRACK AND INTENSITY OUTLOOK It must be emphasized that heavy rainfall and severe winds may still be experienced in localities outside the landfall point and the forecast confidence cone. Refer to “Other Hazards affecting Land Areas” for more details. Furthermore, the track may still shift within the limit of the forecast confidence cone. ADA will move generally northwestward today before slowly turning northward to northeastward tomorrow (18 January). From tomorrow onwards, ADA is forecast to move slowly in a looping pattern over the sea east of Southern Luzon. A further westward shift in the forecast track may result in a possible landfall over Catanduanes. Furthermore, changes in forecast track over the succeeding bulletins is possible. ADA is forecast to remain as a tropical storm while moving over the sea east of Southern Luzon. However, further intensification to severe tropical storm is not ruled out. This tropical cyclone will then weaken into a tropical depression by Tuesday (20 January) afternoon or evening due to the effects of the surge of the northeast monsoon.
Considering these developments, the public and disaster risk reduction and management offices concerned are advised to take all necessary measures to protect life and property. Persons living in areas identified to be highly or very highly susceptible to these hazards are advised to follow evacuation and other instructions from local officials. For heavy rainfall warnings, thunderstorm/rainfall advisories, and other severe weather information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your local PAGASA Regional Services Division.
A tropical cyclone will affect the locality. Winds of 39-61 kph or intermittent rains may be expected within 36 hours. STORMY CONDITIONS STILL PREVAIL OVER MOST OF BICOL REGION AS “ADA” MOVES NORTH NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE COASTAL WATERS OF CATANDUANES. Location of eye/center : The center of Tropical Storm ADA was estimated based on all available data at over the coastal waters of Pandan, Catanduanes (14.3, 124.4). Strength : Maximum winds of 85 kph near the centerand gustiness of up to 105 kph. Forecast movement : Forecast to move Northwestward at 10 kph Forecast position : Jan 18, 2026 02:00 AM - 280 km East of Infanta, Quezon Jan 18, 2026 02:00 PM - 320 km East of Baler, Aurora Jan 19, 2026 02:00 AM - 330 km East of Casiguran, Aurora Jan 19, 2026 02:00 PM - 425 km East of Casiguran, Aurora Jan 20, 2026 02:00 AM - 555 km East of Casiguran, Aurora Jan 20, 2026 02:00 PM - 670 km East of Casiguran, Aurora Jan 21, 2026 02:00 PM - 750 km East of Daet, Camarines Norte Jan 22, 2026 02:00 PM - 235 km East of Guiuan, Eastern Samar HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND AREAS Heavy Rainfall Outlook Refer to Weather Advisory No. 14 issued at 5:00 PM today for the heavy rainfall outlook due to Tropical Cyclone ADA. Severe Winds The wind signals warn the public of the general wind threat over an area due to the tropical cyclone. Local winds may be slightly stronger/enhanced in coastal and upland/mountainous areas exposed to winds. Winds are less strong in areas sheltered from the prevailing wind direction. Minor to moderate impacts from gale-force winds are possible within any of the areas under Wind Signal No. 2. Minimal to minor impacts from strong winds are possible within any of the areas under Wind Signal No. 1. Since further intensification to severe tropical storm is not ruled out, raising of Wind Signal No. 3 is possible. The Northeast Monsoon and the periphery of ADA will also bring strong to gale-force gusts over the following areas (especially in coastal and upland areas exposed to winds): Today: Batanes, Babuyan Islands, Ilocos Norte, northern and eastern mainland Cagayan, Isabela, Quirino, Quezon, Romblon, Oriental Mindoro, Aklan, Capiz, northern Cebu, Eastern Visayas, and Dinagat Islands Tomorrow (18 January): Batanes, Cagayan, Isabela, Quirino, Ilocos Norte, Abra, Aurora, Quezon, Marinduque, Romblon, Bicol Region, and Northern Samar Monday (19 January): Batanes, Cagayan, Isabela, Ilocos Norte, Abra, Aurora, Polillo Islands, Camarines Norte, Camarines Sur, and Catanduanes. Coastal Flooding There is a minimal to moderate risk of storm surge with peak heights reaching up to 2.0 m within the next 48 hours over the low-lying or exposed coastal communities of Quezon, Camarines Norte, Camarines Sur, Catanduanes, Albay, Sorsogon, Masbate, Northern Samar, Eastern Samar, Samar, and Biliran. Refer to Storm Surge Warning No. 8 issued at 2:00 PM today for more details. HAZARDS AFFECTING COASTAL WATERS A Gale Warning is in effect over the eastern seaboards of Southern Luzon. For more details, refer to Gale Warning No. 5 issued at 5:00 PM today. 24-Hour Sea Condition Outlook Up to very rough seas over the following coastal waters: Up to 5.5 m: The northern seaboards of Camarines Sur and Catanduanes Up to 5.0 m: The seaboard of Camarines Norte Up to 4.5 m: The seaboards of Isabela and northern Aurora; the eastern seaboards of Polillo Islands and Catanduanes Sea travel is risky for all types or tonnage of vessels. All mariners must remain in port or, if underway, seek shelter or safe harbor as soon as possible until winds and waves subside. Up to rough seas over the following coastal waters: Up to 4.0 m: The seaboard of Babuyan Islands; the eastern seaboard of mainland Cagayan, Albay, and Sorsogon; the northern and eastern seaboards of Northern Samar. Up to 3.5 m: The seaboard of Batanes and northern mainland Quezon; the remaining seaboard of Aurora; the northern and western seaboards of Polillo Islands; the eastern seaboard of Eastern Samar. Up to 3.0 m: The seaboards of Ilocos Norte and Ilocos Sur; the remaining seaboard of mainland Cagayan. Mariners of small seacrafts, including all types of motorbancas, are advised not to venture out to sea under these conditions, especially if inexperienced or operating ill-equipped vessels. Up to moderate seas over the following coastal waters: Up to 2.5 m: The eastern seaboard of Eastern Samar Up to 2.0 m: The seaboards of Oriental Mindoro, Romblon, Marinduque, Kalayaan Islands, Aklan, Capiz, and Davao Occidental; the eastern seaboard of Dinagat Islands and Davao Oriental; the northern and eastern seaboards of Siargao-Bucas Grande Islands; the western seaboards of mainland Palawan; the remaining seaboard of llocos Region, Quezon, Bicol Region, and Northern Samar. Mariners of motorbancas and similarly sized vessels are advised to take precautionary measures while venturing out to sea and, if possible, avoid navigation under these conditions. Other coastal waters have wave heights of less than 2.0 m. TRACK AND INTENSITY OUTLOOK It must be emphasized that heavy rainfall and severe winds may still be experienced in localities outside the landfall point and the forecast confidence cone. Refer to “Other Hazards affecting Land Areas” for more details. Furthermore, the track may still shift within the limit of the forecast confidence cone. ADA will move generally northwestward today before slowly turning northward to northeastward tomorrow (18 January). From tomorrow onwards, ADA is forecast to follow a looping track over the sea east of Luzon. A further westward shift in the forecast track may result in a possible landfall over Catanduanes. Furthermore, changes in forecast track over the succeeding bulletins is possible. ADA is forecast to remain as a tropical storm while moving over the sea east of Luzon. However, further intensification to severe tropical storm is not ruled out. This tropical cyclone will then weaken into a tropical depression by Tuesday (20 January) afternoon or evening due to the effects of the surge of the northeast monsoon.
Considering these developments, the public and disaster risk reduction and management offices concerned are advised to take all necessary measures to protect life and property. Persons living in areas identified to be highly or very highly susceptible to these hazards are advised to follow evacuation and other instructions from local officials. For heavy rainfall warnings, thunderstorm/rainfall advisories, and other severe weather information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your local PAGASA Regional Services Division.
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