Under present weather conditions, At 3:00 PM today, the center of Severe Tropical Storm "NIKA" {TORAJI} was estimated based on all available data at 380 km East of Infanta, Quezon (15.2°N, 125.2°E) with maximum sustained winds of 110 km/h and gustiness of up to 135 km/h. It is moving Westward at 10 km/h. The 12-hour rainfall forecast is moderate to occasionally heavy rains. WATERCOURSES STILL LIKELY TO BE AFFECTED : + **Quezon** - Rivers and its tributaries particularly Upper Umiray, Lower Bolbok (Lawaya), Malaking-Ilog, Iyam, Macalelon, Catanauan, Silongin Lagda, Pagsanjan, Yabahaan, Bigol, Guinhalinan, Vinas, Calauag, Pandanan, Sta. Lucia, Lugan Malaybalay, Maapon, Bucal (Lalangan), Lakayat, Tignoan, Agos, Anibawan (Polilio Island) and Upper Kilbay - Catabangan. + **Batangas** - Rivers and its tributaries particularly Lian, Banabang-Molino, Pansipit, Kapumpong, Rosario-Lobo and Upper Bolbok (Lawaya). + **Laguna** - Rivers and its tributaries particularly Pagsanjan, Pila-Sta. Cruz, San Juan and San Cristobal. + **Cavite** - Rivers and its tributaries particularly Laboc (Balsahan), Cañas, Ylang-Ylang, Imus, and Maragondon. + **Rizal** - Rivers and its tributaries particularly Upper Marikina and Kaliwa.
People living near the mountain slopes and in the low lying areas of the above mentioned river systems and the **Local Disaster Risk Reduction and Management Councils** concerned still advised to take necessary precautionary measures.
A tropical cyclone will affect the locality. Winds of 39-61 kph or intermittent rains may be expected within 36 hours. “NIKA” CONTINUES TO MOVE WESTWARD AS IT NEARS TYPHOON STRENGTH. Location of eye/center : The center of Severe Tropical Storm NIKA was estimated based on all available data including Daet Weather Radar at at 380 km East of Infanta, Quezon (15.2, 125.2). Strength : Maximum winds of 110 kph near the centerand gustiness of up to 135 kph. Forecast movement : Forecast to move Westward at 20 kph Forecast position : Nov 11, 2024 02:00 AM - 170 km East of Baler, Aurora Nov 11, 2024 02:00 PM - In the vicinity of Banaue, Ifugao Nov 12, 2024 02:00 AM - 165 km West of Sinait, Ilocos Sur Nov 12, 2024 02:00 PM - 325 km West Northwest of Sinait, Ilocos Sur (OUTSIDE PAR) Nov 13, 2024 02:00 AM - 565 km West of Calayan, Cagayan (OUTSIDE PAR) Nov 13, 2024 02:00 PM - 710 km West of Calayan, Cagayan (OUTSIDE PAR) Nov 14, 2024 02:00 PM - 935 km West of Extreme Northern Luzon (OUTSIDE PAR) Nov 15, 2024 02:00 PM - 1,055 km West of Extreme Northern Luzon (OUTSIDE PAR) HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND AREAS Heavy Rainfall Outlook Refer to Weather Advisory No. 7 issued at 5:00 PM today for the heavy rainfall outlook due to Tropical Cyclone “NIKA”. Severe Winds The wind signals warn the public of the general wind threat over an area due to the tropical cyclone. Local winds may be slightly stronger/enhanced in coastal and upland/mountainous areas exposed to winds. Winds are less strong in areas sheltered from the prevailing wind direction. Minor to moderate impacts from gale-force winds are possible within any of the areas under Wind Signal No. 2. Minimal to minor impacts from strong winds are possible within any of the areas under Wind Signal No. 1. The highest Wind Signal which may be hoisted during the occurrence of NIKA is Wind Signal No. 4. Furthermore, the northeasterly wind flow will also bring strong to gale-force gusts over the following areas (especially in coastal and upland areas exposed to winds): Today (10 November): Batanes Tomorrow (11 November): Batanes, Batangas, Marinduque, Romblon, Camarines Sur, Catanduanes Tuesday (12 November): Batanes and Cagayan including Babuyan Islands Coastal Inundation There is a moderate to high risk of storm surge may occur in the next 48 hours in the low-lying or exposed coastal localities of Ilocos Norte, Ilocos Sur, La Union, Pangasinan, Cagayan including Babuyan Islands, Isabela, Zambales, Aurora, Quezon including Polillo Islands, Camarines Norte, Camarines Sur, and Catanduanes. For more information, refer to Storm Surge Warning No. 4 issued at 2:00 PM today. HAZARDS AFFECTING COASTAL WATERS A Gale Warning is hoisted over the eastern seaboard of Luzon. For more information, refer to Gale Warning No. 2 issued at 5:00 PM today. 24-Hour Sea Condition Outlook Up to very rough or high seas over the following coastal waters: Up to 7.0 m: The seaboards of Isabela and northern Aurora Up to 5.5 m: The remaining seaboard of Aurora, the northern and eastern seaboards of Polillo Islands; the seaboard of Camarines Norte Up to 4.5 m: The eastern seaboard of mainland Cagayan; the northern seaboards of Camarines Sur and Catanduanes; the western seaboard of Ilocos Norte; the seaboard of Ilocos Sur Sea travel is risky for all types or tonnage of vessels. All mariners must remain in port or, if underway, seek shelter or safe harbor as soon as possible until winds and waves subside. Up to rough seas over the following coastal waters: Up to 4.0 m: The remaining seaboards of Catanduanes, mainland Cagayan, and Ilocos Norte; the seaboard of Babuyan Islands Up to 3.5 m: The seaboard of Batanes; the remaining seaboards of Ilocos Region Up to 3.0 m: The eastern seaboards of mainland Quezon, Catanduanes, Albay, and Sorsogon; the northern seaboard of Northern Samar; the remaining seaboard of Polillo Islands. Mariners of small seacrafts, including all types of motorbancas, are advised not to venture out to sea under these conditions, especially if inexperienced or operating ill-equipped vessels. Up to moderate seas over the following coastal waters: Up to 2.5 m:The eastern seaboards of Northern Samar. Up to 2.0 m: The eastern seaboards of Eastern Samar and Dinagat Islands; the seaboard of Kalayaan Islands. Mariners of motorbancas and similarly-sized vessels are advised to take precautionary measures while venturing out to sea and, if possible, avoid navigation under these conditions. TRACK AND INTENSITY OUTLOOK NIKA is forecast to move generally west northwestward throughout the forecast period. On the track forecast, it may make landfall over Isabela or northern Aurora tomorrow (11 November) morning or early afternoon. Regardless of the position of the landfall point, it must be emphasized that hazards on land and coastal waters may still be experienced in areas outside the landfall point or forecast confidence cone. The tropical cyclone will then traverse the landmass of mainland Northern Luzon and emerge over the West Philippine Sea tomorrow evening. Afterwards, NIKA will continue moving west northwestward over the West Philippine Sea and exit the Philippine Area of Responsibility by Tuesday (12 November) afternoon. NIKA is forecast to reach typhoon category today and may reach its peak intensity of around 130 km/h prior to landfall. A short period of weakening is expected as NIKA traverses the landmass of Luzon due to land interaction. Re-intensification may occur over the West Philippine Sea.
Considering these developments, the public and disaster risk reduction and management offices concerned are advised to take all necessary measures to protect life and property. Persons living in areas identified to be highly or very highly susceptible to these hazards are advised to follow evacuation and other instructions from local officials. For heavy rainfall warnings, thunderstorm/rainfall advisories, and other severe weather information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your local PAGASA Regional Services Division.
A tropical cyclone will affect the locality. Winds of 39-61 kph or intermittent rains may be expected within 36 hours. “NIKA” SLIGHTLY DECELERATES OVER THE PHILIPPINE SEA EAST OF AURORA. Location of eye/center : The center of Severe Tropical Storm NIKA was estimated based on all available data including Baler and Daet Weather Radar at at 335 km East Northeast of Infanta, Quezon or 330 km East of Baler, Aurora (15.4°N, 124.7°E) (15.4, 124.7). Strength : Maximum winds of 110 kph near the centerand gustiness of up to 135 kph. Forecast movement : Forecast to move West Northwestward at 15 kph Forecast position : Nov 11, 2024 05:00 AM - Over the coastal waters of Casiguran, Aurora Nov 11, 2024 05:00 PM - In the vicinity of Gregorio Del Pilar, Ilocos Sur Nov 12, 2024 05:00 AM - 200 km West of Sinait, Ilocos Sur Nov 12, 2024 05:00 PM - 440 km West of Calayan, Cagayan (OUTSIDE PAR) Nov 13, 2024 05:00 AM - 595 km West of Calayan, Cagayan (OUTSIDE PAR) Nov 13, 2024 05:00 PM - 735 km West of Calayan, Cagayan (OUTSIDE PAR) Nov 14, 2024 05:00 PM - 975 km West of Extreme Northern Luzon (OUTSIDE PAR) Nov 15, 2024 05:00 PM - 1,090 km West of Extreme Northern Luzon (OUTSIDE PAR) HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND AREAS Heavy Rainfall Outlook Refer to Weather Advisory No. 8 issued at 8:00 PM today for the heavy rainfall outlook due to Tropical Cyclone “NIKA”. Severe Winds The wind signals warn the public of the general wind threat over an area due to the tropical cyclone. Local winds may be slightly stronger/enhanced in coastal and upland/mountainous areas exposed to winds. Winds are less strong in areas sheltered from the prevailing wind direction. Moderate to significant impacts from gale-force winds are possible within any of the areas under Wind Signal No. 3. Minor to moderate impacts from gale-force winds are possible within any of the areas under Wind Signal No. 2. Minimal to minor impacts from strong winds are possible within any of the areas under Wind Signal No. 1. The highest Wind Signal which may be hoisted during the occurrence of NIKA is Wind Signal No. 4. Furthermore, the northeasterly wind flow will also bring strong to gale-force gusts over the following areas (especially in coastal and upland areas exposed to winds): Today (10 November): Batanes Tomorrow (11 November): Batanes, Batangas, Marinduque, Romblon, Camarines Sur, Catanduanes Tuesday (12 November): Batanes and Cagayan including Babuyan Islands Coastal Inundation There is a moderateto high risk of storm surge may occur in the next 48 hours in the low-lying or exposed coastal localities of Ilocos Norte, Ilocos Sur, La Union, Pangasinan, Cagayan including Babuyan Islands, Isabela, Zambales, Aurora, Quezon including Polillo Islands, Camarines Norte, Camarines Sur, and Catanduanes. For more information, refer to Storm Surge Warning No. 4 issued at 8:00 PM today. HAZARDS AFFECTING COASTAL WATERS A Gale Warning is hoisted over the eastern seaboard of Luzon. For more information, refer to Gale Warning No. 2 issued at 5:00 PM today. 24-Hour Sea Condition Outlook Up to very rough or high seas over the following coastal waters: Up to 7.0 m: The seaboards of Isabela and northern Aurora Up to 5.5 m: The remaining seaboard of Aurora, the northern and eastern seaboards of Polillo Islands; the seaboard of Camarines Norte Up to 4.5 m: The eastern seaboard of mainland Cagayan; the northern seaboards of Camarines Sur and Catanduanes; the western seaboard of Ilocos Norte; the seaboard of Ilocos Sur Sea travel is risky for all types or tonnage of vessels. All mariners must remain in port or, if underway, seek shelter or safe harbor as soon as possible until winds and waves subside. Up to rough seas over the following coastal waters: Up to 4.0 m: The remaining seaboards of Catanduanes, mainland Cagayan, and Ilocos Norte; the seaboard of Babuyan Islands Up to 3.5 m: The seaboard of Batanes; the remaining seaboards of Ilocos Region Up to 3.0 m: The eastern seaboards of mainland Quezon, Catanduanes, Albay, and Sorsogon; the northern seaboard of Northern Samar; the remaining seaboard of Polillo Islands. Mariners of small seacrafts, including all types of motorbancas, are advised not to venture out to sea under these conditions, especially if inexperienced or operating ill-equipped vessels. Up to moderate seas over the following coastal waters: Up to 2.5 m:The eastern seaboards of Northern Samar. Up to 2.0 m: The eastern seaboards of Eastern Samar and Dinagat Islands; the seaboard of Kalayaan Islands. Mariners of motorbancas and similarly-sized vessels are advised to take precautionary measures while venturing out to sea and, if possible, avoid navigation under these conditions. TRACK AND INTENSITY OUTLOOK NIKA is forecast to move generally west northwestward throughout the forecast period. On the track forecast, it may make landfall over Isabela or northern Aurora tomorrow (11 November) morning or early afternoon. Regardless of the position of the landfall point, it must be emphasized that hazards on land and coastal waters may still be experienced in areas outside the landfall point or forecast confidence cone. The tropical cyclone will then traverse the landmass of mainland Northern Luzon and emerge over the West Philippine Sea tomorrow evening. Afterwards, NIKA will continue moving west northwestward over the West Philippine Sea and exit the Philippine Area of Responsibility by Tuesday (12 November) afternoon. NIKA is forecast to reach typhoon category today and may reach its peak intensity of around 130 km/h prior to landfall. A short period of weakening is expected as NIKA traverses the landmass of Luzon due to land interaction. Re-intensification may occur over the West Philippine Sea.
Considering these developments, the public and disaster risk reduction and management offices concerned are advised to take all necessary measures to protect life and property. Persons living in areas identified to be highly or very highly susceptible to these hazards are advised to follow evacuation and other instructions from local officials. For heavy rainfall warnings, thunderstorm/rainfall advisories, and other severe weather information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your local PAGASA Regional Services Division.
Under present weather conditions, At 3:00 PM today, the center of Severe Tropical Storm "NIKA" {TORAJI} was estimated based on all available data at 380 km East of Infanta, Quezon (15.2°N, 125.2°E) with maximum sustained winds of 110 km/h and gustiness of up to 135 km/h. It is moving Westward at 10 km/h. The 12-hour rainfall forecast is moderate to occasionally heavy rains. WATERCOURSES STILL LIKELY TO BE AFFECTED : + **Quezon** - Rivers and its tributaries particularly Upper Umiray, Lower Bolbok (Lawaya), Malaking-Ilog, Iyam, Macalelon, Catanauan, Silongin Lagda, Pagsanjan, Yabahaan, Bigol, Guinhalinan, Vinas, Calauag, Pandanan, Sta. Lucia, Lugan Malaybalay, Maapon, Bucal (Lalangan), Lakayat, Tignoan, Agos, Anibawan (Polilio Island) and Upper Kilbay - Catabangan. + **Batangas** - Rivers and its tributaries particularly Lian, Banabang-Molino, Pansipit, Kapumpong, Rosario-Lobo and Upper Bolbok (Lawaya). + **Laguna** - Rivers and its tributaries particularly Pagsanjan, Pila-Sta. Cruz, San Juan and San Cristobal. + **Cavite** - Rivers and its tributaries particularly Laboc (Balsahan), Cañas, Ylang-Ylang, Imus, and Maragondon. + **Rizal** - Rivers and its tributaries particularly Upper Marikina and Kaliwa.
People living near the mountain slopes and in the low lying areas of the above mentioned river systems and the **Local Disaster Risk Reduction and Management Councils** concerned still advised to take necessary precautionary measures.
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