“PAOLO” IS NOW MOVING TOWARDS SOUTHERN CHINA. Location of eye/center : The center of Severe Tropical Storm PAOLO was estimated based on all available data at at 440 km West of Sinait, Ilocos Sur (18.1, 116.3). Strength : Maximum winds of 110 kph near the centerand gustiness of up to 135 kph. Forecast movement : Forecast to move West Northwestward at 20 kph Forecast position : Oct 04, 2025 08:00 PM - 775 km West of Calayan, Cagayan (OUTSIDE PAR) Oct 05, 2025 08:00 AM - 1,065 km West of Extreme Northern Luzon (OUTSIDE PAR) Oct 05, 2025 08:00 PM - 1,195 km West Northwest of Northern Luzon (OUTSIDE PAR) HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND AREAS Severe Winds The outer rain bands of PAOLO will also bring strong to gale-force gusts over the following areas (especially in coastal and upland areas exposed to winds): Today: Batanes, northern portion of mainland Cagayan including Babuyan Islands, Apayao, Zambales, and Bataan. HAZARDS AFFECTING COASTAL WATERS 24-Hour Sea Condition Outlook Up to moderate to rough seas over the following coastal waters: Up to 3.0 m: The seaboard of Ilocos Region. Up to 2.5 m: The seaboards of Batanes, Babuyan Islands, and Zambales. Up to 2.0 m: The seaboards of mainland Cagayan, Isabela, and Bataan. Mariners of motorbancas and similarly sized vessels are advised to take precautionary measures while venturing out to sea and, if possible, avoid navigation under these conditions. TRACK AND INTENSITY OUTLOOK PAOLO will continue moving west northwestward towards southern China. While moving over the West Philippine Sea, PAOLO may re-intensify into a typhoon today.
Under present weather conditions, Southwest Monsoon affecting the western sections of Central and Southern Luzon. The 12-hour rainfall forecast is light to occasionally moderate rains and thunderstorms. WATERCOURSES STILL LIKELY TO BE AFFECTED : + **Ilocos Norte** - Rivers and its tributaries particularly Bulu, Banban, Bacarra-Vintar, Laoag and Quiaoit. + **La Union** - Rivers and its tributaries particularly Amburayan, Baroro, Lower Bauang and Aringay. + **Pangasinan** - Rivers and its tributaries particularly Balincaguing and Alaminos. + **Ilocos Sur** - Rivers and its tributaries particularly Lower Abra, Silay-Sta. Maria, Buaya, and Amburayan.
People living near the mountain slopes and in the low lying areas of the above mentioned river systems and the **Local Disaster Risk Reduction and Management Councils** concerned still advised to be alert for possible flashfloods.
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