10-Day Weather Aberfan

Daily Hourly

Sat	Sun	Mon	Tue	Wed	Thu	Fri	Sat	Sun	Mon	Tue	Wed	Thu	Fri
9-6	9-7	9-8	9-9	9-10	9-11	9-12	9-13	9-14	9-15	9-16	9-17	9-18	9-19

69°	65°	60°	61°	60°	57°	57°	58°	58°	59°	59°	60°	59°	57°
53°	54°	51°	50°	53°	50°	51°	51°	54°	52°	51°	52°	51°	50°
Predictability

80%	50%	45%	35%	30%	25%	30%	30%	20%	15%	20%	15%	15%	15%
Temperature ( °F)

Precipitation (in) / Precipitation probability (%)
Sat	Sun	Mon	Tue	Wed	Thu	Fri	Sat	Sun	Mon	Tue	Wed	Thu	Fri

5%	85%	60%	80%	80%	90%	95%	85%	80%	65%	55%	50%	45%	50%

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This chart shows the 14 day weather trend for Aberfan (Wales, United Kingdom) with daily weather symbols, minimum and maximum temperatures, precipitation amount and probability.

The deviance is coloured within the temperature graph. The stronger the ups and downs, the more uncertain the forecast will be. The thick line represents the most probable trend.
Variation in precipitation is represented as a „T“. These uncertainties usually increase with the number of forecasts days ahead.
The forecast is created with „ensemble“ models. Several model runs with varying start parameter are calculated to estimate the predictability of the forecast more precisely.

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10-Day Weather Aberfan

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