10-Day Weather Mu‘a

Daily Hourly

Tue	Wed	Thu	Fri	Sat	Sun	Mon	Tue	Wed	Thu	Fri	Sat	Sun	Mon
7-29	7-30	7-31	8-1	8-2	8-3	8-4	8-5	8-6	8-7	8-8	8-9	8-10	8-11

79°	80°	81°	80°	79°	78°	78°	79°	80°	80°	80°	80°	79°	79°
77°	78°	79°	78°	78°	76°	76°	78°	79°	79°	79°	78°	78°	78°
Predictability

55%	50%	55%	80%	85%	75%	85%	75%	55%	55%	55%	55%	50%	55%
Temperature ( °F)

Precipitation (in) / Precipitation probability (%)
Tue	Wed	Thu	Fri	Sat	Sun	Mon	Tue	Wed	Thu	Fri	Sat	Sun	Mon

35%	100%	75%	5%	5%	10%	10%	20%	50%	60%	60%	55%	50%	50%

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This chart shows the 14 day weather trend for Mu‘a (Vava‘u, Tonga) with daily weather symbols, minimum and maximum temperatures, precipitation amount and probability.

The deviance is coloured within the temperature graph. The stronger the ups and downs, the more uncertain the forecast will be. The thick line represents the most probable trend.
Variation in precipitation is represented as a „T“. These uncertainties usually increase with the number of forecasts days ahead.
The forecast is created with „ensemble“ models. Several model runs with varying start parameter are calculated to estimate the predictability of the forecast more precisely.

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10-Day Weather Mu‘a

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Seasonal Forecast

MultiModel Ensemble

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Thermals