Official severe weather warnings near General Nakar

A tropical cyclone will affect the locality. Winds of 39-61 kph or intermittent rains may be expected within 36 hours. “AGHON” CONTINUES TO MOVE NORTHWESTWARD TOWARDS THE LEYTE GULF. Location of eye/center : The center of the eye was estimated based on all available data at 145 km East of Surigao City, Surigao del Norte (09.7, 126.8). Strength : Maximum winds of 55 kph near the centerand gustiness of up to 70 kph. Forecast movement : Forecast to move Northwestward at 20 kph Forecast position : May 25, 2024 08:00 AM - In the vicinity of Panabatan, Santa Margarita May 25, 2024 08:00 PM - In the vicinity of Calabanga, Camarines Sur May 26, 2024 08:00 AM - 85 km North of Daet, Camarines Norte May 26, 2024 08:00 PM - 125 km East of Casiguran, Aurora May 27, 2024 08:00 AM - 225 km East of Tuguegarao City, Cagayan May 27, 2024 08:00 PM - 370 km East of Calayan, Cagayan May 28, 2024 08:00 PM - 960 km East Northeast of Extreme Northern Luzon May 29, 2024 08:00 PM - 1,915 km Northeast of Extreme Northern Luzon (OUTSIDE PAR) HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND AREAS Heavy Rainfall Outlook Forecast accumulated rainfall: From tonight until tomorrow evening 100-200 mm: Albay, Sorsogon, Eastern Visayas, Surigao del Norte, and Dinagat Islands 50-100 mm: The southeastern portion of Quezon, the rest of Bicol Region, and the northern portions of Western Visayas and Cebu. Forecast accumulated rainfall: From tomorrow evening to Sunday evening 100-200 mm: Bicol Region 50-100 mm: Polillo Islands, the southern portion of Quezon, and Northern Samar Forecast accumulated rainfall: From Sunday evening to Monday evening 50-100 mm: Catanduanes, Camarines Norte, Camarines Sur and the southern portion of Quezon and Polillo Islands Forecast rainfall are generally higher in elevated or mountainous areas. Under these conditions, flooding and rain-induced landslides are possible especially in areas that are highly or very highly susceptible to these hazards as identified in hazard maps and in localities that experienced considerable amounts of rainfall for the past several days Severe Winds  The wind signals warn the public of the general wind threat over an area due to the tropical cyclone. Local winds may be slightly stronger/enhanced in coastal and upland/mountainous areas exposed to winds. Winds are less strong in areas sheltered from the prevailing wind direction.  Minimal to minor impacts from strong winds are possible within any of the areas under Wind Signal No. 1. Other areas in CALABARZON may be placed under Wind Signal No.1 in the next bulletin. The highest possible Wind Signal that may be hoisted during the passage of AGHON is Wind Signal No. 2. HAZARDS AFFECTING COASTAL WATERS Tonight to tomorrow evening: AGHON will bring moderate to rough seas (1.5 to 3.5 m) over the coastal waters along the seaboards of Bicol Region, the southern seaboard of Quezon, the eastern seaboard of Eastern Visayas, the western seaboard of Samar and Northern Samar, and the eastern seaboard of Caraga Region. Mariners of motor bancas and similarly-sized vessels are advised to take precautionary measures while venturing out to sea and, if possible, avoid navigating in these conditions, especially if inexperienced or operating ill-equipped vessels. TRACK AND INTENSITY OUTLOOK AGHON is forecast to continue moving generally northwestward and is forecast to make landfall as a tropical depression in the vicinity of Eastern Samar in the next 12 hours (likely by tomorrow early morning). However, there is an increasing possibility of landfall in the vicinity of Leyte and/or Dinagat Islands within the next 12 hours due to the westward shift in track forecast. Afterwards, AGHON will continue generally northwestward, emerge over the Samar Sea, and cross the Bicol Peninsula between tomorrow afternoon and Sunday early morning. It is forecast to emerge over the waters north of Camarines Provinces by Sunday morning. From the time it emerges over Samar Sea up to its passage over Bicol Region, AGHON is forecast to reach tropical storm category. On Sunday, AGHON will begin its recurvature towards the northeast. As it moves over the Philippine Sea, the tropical cyclone is forecast to continuously intensify and may reach typhoon category on Tuesday. On the track forecast, AGHON may exit the PAR region no earlier than Tuesday.