Under present weather conditions, At 3:00 AM today, the center of Severe Tropical Storm "PAOLO" {MATMO} was estimated based on all available data at 200 km West of Sinait, Ilocos Sur (17.9°N, 118.1°E), with maximum sustained winds of 110 km/h near the center and gustiness of up to 135 km/h. It is moving West Northwestward at 20 km/h. The 12-hour rainfall forecast is light to moderate rains. WATERCOURSES LIKELY TO BE AFFECTED : + **Benguet** - Rivers and its tributaries particularly Upper Bauang. + **Abra** - Rivers and its tributaries particularly Upper Abra, Tineg and Ikmin. + **Apayao** - Rivers and its tributaries particularly Upper Abulug and Upper Pamplona. + **Mountain Province** - All rivers and its tributaries + **Kalinga** - All rivers and its tributaries + **Ifugao** - All rivers and its tributaries
People living near the mountain slopes and in the low lying areas of the above mentioned river systems and the **Local Disaster Risk Reduction and Management Councils** concerned advised to take appropriate actions.
“PAOLO” IS NOW MOVING TOWARDS SOUTHERN CHINA. Location of eye/center : The center of Severe Tropical Storm PAOLO was estimated based on all available data at at 440 km West of Sinait, Ilocos Sur (18.1, 116.3). Strength : Maximum winds of 110 kph near the centerand gustiness of up to 135 kph. Forecast movement : Forecast to move West Northwestward at 20 kph Forecast position : Oct 04, 2025 08:00 PM - 775 km West of Calayan, Cagayan (OUTSIDE PAR) Oct 05, 2025 08:00 AM - 1,065 km West of Extreme Northern Luzon (OUTSIDE PAR) Oct 05, 2025 08:00 PM - 1,195 km West Northwest of Northern Luzon (OUTSIDE PAR) HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND AREAS Severe Winds The outer rain bands of PAOLO will also bring strong to gale-force gusts over the following areas (especially in coastal and upland areas exposed to winds): Today: Batanes, northern portion of mainland Cagayan including Babuyan Islands, Apayao, Zambales, and Bataan. HAZARDS AFFECTING COASTAL WATERS 24-Hour Sea Condition Outlook Up to moderate to rough seas over the following coastal waters: Up to 3.0 m: The seaboard of Ilocos Region. Up to 2.5 m: The seaboards of Batanes, Babuyan Islands, and Zambales. Up to 2.0 m: The seaboards of mainland Cagayan, Isabela, and Bataan. Mariners of motorbancas and similarly sized vessels are advised to take precautionary measures while venturing out to sea and, if possible, avoid navigation under these conditions. TRACK AND INTENSITY OUTLOOK PAOLO will continue moving west northwestward towards southern China. While moving over the West Philippine Sea, PAOLO may re-intensify into a typhoon today.
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