meteoblue has introduced a new series of monthly Forecast Accuracy Reports, providing a transparent assessment of forecast performance based on observations from weather stations worldwide and comparisons with leading global weather models.
A 30% chance of rain sounds simple. But does it mean rain for 30% of the day, rain across 30% of the area, or that meteorologists are only 30% confident? Weather probabilities are familiar, yet they are also among the most misunderstood parts of a forecast.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||
|
Icon
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
°F
|
53°
|
55°
|
65°
|
72°
|
74°
|
73°
|
67°
|
65°
|
|
°F
|
51°
|
53°
|
63°
|
69°
|
70°
|
71°
|
67°
|
65°
|
|
|
WSW |
SSW |
SSW |
SW |
SW |
SW |
SSW |
S |
|
mph
|
4-8
|
3-7
|
5-12
|
9-16
|
9-16
|
7-17
|
5-11
|
5-14
|
|
in
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
< 0.04
|
-
|
-
|
|
%
|
0%
|
0%
|
0%
|
0%
|
25%
|
50%
|
15%
|
30%
|
|
in
|
||||||||
|
12.4 mi
|
Overnight into Wednesday clear skies prevail, but on Wednesday morning a few clouds are expected. In the afternoon it will be cloudy and rainy. The sun will not be visible. The chance of precipitation is moderate or near 50%. Temperatures peaking at 75 °F. Overnight into Wednesday blows a light breeze (4 to 8 mph). At daytime a gentle breeze is expected (8 to 12 mph). From time to time gusts could reach up to 21 mph. Winds blowing from Southwest. The weather forecast for Otwock for Wednesday can be accurate in parts but deviations are expected. Check again for latest updates.
Pressure: 1007 hPa
Timezone: CEST (UTC +02:00h)
The location marker is placed on Otwock. This animation shows the precipitation radar for the selected time range, as well as a 2h forecast. Orange crosses indicate lightning. Data provided by nowcast.de (available in USA, Europe, Australia). Drizzle or light snow fall might be invisible for the radar. Precipitation intensity is colour coded, ranging from turquoise to red.
You can embed this meteogram into your own website. Customize it here.
The real-time satellite image combines visible light during daytime with infrared radiation during nighttime. At night, the image is not dark as infrared radiation can detect temperature differences. Unfortunately, low clouds and fog are difficult to distinguish from ground temperatures and thus can be almost invisible during the night. Meteosat satellite images for Europe are updated in real-time every 5 minutes. GOES-16/GOES-17 (North & South America) and Himawari (Asia) images update every 10 minutes.
Precipitation is estimated from radar and satellites. Precipitation estimates from satellites are less accurate at night than during daytime.
© 2026 meteoblue, NOAA Satellites GOES-16 and EUMETSAT. Lightning data provided by nowcast.
meteoblue has introduced a new series of monthly Forecast Accuracy Reports, providing a transparent assessment of forecast performance based on observations from weather stations worldwide and comparisons with leading global weather models.
A 30% chance of rain sounds simple. But does it mean rain for 30% of the day, rain across 30% of the area, or that meteorologists are only 30% confident? Weather probabilities are familiar, yet they are also among the most misunderstood parts of a forecast.
Advertising is essential to maintain our free website with unique detail and accuracy.
Please whitelist www.meteoblue.com on your ad blocker or consider buying one of our products:
Already have a subscription?
Then please login.
Warsaw 
