HLSMOB
This product covers portions of southwest Alabama,northwest Florida,south central Alabama,and inland southeast Mississippi.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO GETTING BETTER ORGANIZED
NEW INFORMATION
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CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
- A Storm Surge Watch has been issued for Baldwin Coastal and Mobile Coastal
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CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
- A Storm Surge Watch and Tropical Storm Watch are in effect for Baldwin Coastal and Mobile Coastal
- A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for Baldwin Central, Escambia Coastal, Mobile Central, Okaloosa Coastal, and Santa Rosa Coastal
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STORM INFORMATION:
- About 210 miles southeast of Mobile AL or about 170 miles southeast of Pensacola FL
- 28.5N 85.6W
- Storm Intensity 35 mph
- Movement Northwest or 310 degrees at 3 mph
SITUATION OVERVIEW
Tropical Depression Two, located about 120 miles south of Panama City Florida, is expected to strengthen into a tropical storm later today. The system is forecast to move across the far offshore Alabama and western Florida panhandle coastal waters Tuesday into Tuesday night then continue west of the area on Wednesday. Impacts associated with this system are still likely to remain focused close to the immediate coast and offshore. A Storm Surge Watch is now in effect for the Alabama coast for storm surge heights of 2 to 4 feet during periods of high tide Wednesday and Thursday mornings. Storm surge values of 1 to 3 feet are possible along the coast of the western Florida panhandle.
While there are uncertainties in the ultimate track and intensity of this system, dangerous surf and beach conditions are expected. A high risk of deadly rip currents is in effect from tonight through much of the week. Surf heights across the Gulf facing beaches could exceed 10 feet Tuesday night into Wednesday. Tropical storm force winds will be possible, primarily along the immediate coast, Tuesday into Wednesday. While most of the heavy rain is forecast to remain offshore, locally heavy rainfall is possible across the coastal counties in any outer bands that move ashore.
POTENTIAL IMPACTS
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COASTAL HAZARDS: Dangerous surf and beach conditions are expected. A high risk of deadly rip currents is forecast beginning tonight, persisting through much of the week. Surf heights across the Gulf facing beaches could exceed 10 feet Tuesday night into Wednesday.
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SURGE: Prepare for life-threatening surge having possible significant impacts across coastal Alabama. Potential impacts in this area include:
- Areas of inundation with storm surge flooding accentuated by waves. Damage to several buildings, mainly near the coast.
- Sections of near-shore escape routes and secondary roads become weakened or washed out, especially in usually vulnerable low spots.
- Major beach erosion with heavy surf breaching dunes. Strong and numerous rip currents.
- Moderate damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks, and piers. Several small craft broken away from moorings, especially in unprotected anchorages.
Limited impacts are possible along the coast of the western Florida panhandle.
- WIND:
Prepare for hazardous wind having possible limited impacts across
immediate coastal areas of Alabama and the western Florida Panhandle.
Potential impacts in this area include:
- Damage to porches, awnings, carports, sheds, and unanchored mobile homes. Unsecured lightweight objects blown about.
- Many large tree limbs broken off. A few trees snapped or uprooted, but with greater numbers in places where trees are shallow rooted. Some fences and roadway signs blown over.
- A few roads impassable from debris, particularly within urban or heavily wooded places. Hazardous driving conditions on bridges and other elevated roadways.
- Scattered power and communications outages.
Elsewhere across portions of southwest Alabama,northwest Florida,south central Alabama,and inland southeast Mississippi, little to no impact is anticipated.
- FLOODING RAIN:
Prepare for locally hazardous rainfall flooding having possible
limited impacts across coastal Alabama and the northwest Florida
Panhandle. Potential impacts include:
- Localized rainfall flooding may prompt a few evacuations.
- Rivers and tributaries may quickly rise with swifter currents. Small streams, creeks, canals, and ditches may become swollen and overflow in spots.
- Flood waters can enter a few structures, especially in usually vulnerable spots. A few places where rapid ponding of water occurs at underpasses, low-lying spots, and poor drainage areas. Several storm drains and retention ponds become near-full and begin to overflow. Some brief road and bridge closures.
Elsewhere across portions of southwest Alabama,northwest Florida,south central Alabama,and inland southeast Mississippi, little to no impact is anticipated.
- TORNADOES: Little to no impacts are anticipated at this time across portions of southwest Alabama,northwest Florida,south central Alabama,and inland southeast Mississippi..
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
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EVACUATIONS: Follow the advice of local officials.
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OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION: Now is the time to check your emergency plan and emergency supplies kit and take necessary actions to protect your family and secure your home or business.
When making safety and preparedness decisions, do not focus on the exact forecast track since hazards such as flooding rain, damaging wind gusts, storm surge, and tornadoes extend well away from the center of the storm.
If you are a visitor, know the name of the county or parish in which you are located and where it is relative to current watches and warnings. If staying at a hotel, ask the management staff about their onsite disaster plan. Listen for evacuation orders, especially pertaining to area visitors.
Closely monitor weather.gov, NOAA Weather Radio and local news outlets for official storm information. Listen for possible changes to the forecast.
- ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For the latest detailed evacuation and shelter information,please refer to your local emergency management agency at the phone number or website listed below.
- Coastal Alabama:
- Baldwin County: 251-972-6807 or https://www.baldwincountyal.gov/departments/EMA
- Mobile County: 251-460-8000 or mobilecountyema.gov
- Northwest Florida:
- Escambia County: 850-471-6400 or myescambia.com/beready
- Santa Rosa County: 850-983-5360 https://www.santarosa.fl.gov/emergency
- Okaloosa County: 850-651-7150 or myokaloosa.com/emergency-management
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org
NEXT UPDATE
The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather Service in Mobile AL around 4 PM CDT, or sooner if conditions warrant.
HLSMOB This product covers portions of southwest Alabama...northwest Florida...south central Alabama...and inland southeast Mississippi. **TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO GETTING BETTER ORGANIZED** NEW INFORMATION --------------- * CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS: - A Storm Surge Watch has been issued for Baldwin Coastal and Mobile Coastal * CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS: - A Storm Surge Watch and Tropical Storm Watch are in effect for Baldwin Coastal and Mobile Coastal - A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for Baldwin Central, Escambia Coastal, Mobile Central, Okaloosa Coastal, and Santa Rosa Coastal * STORM INFORMATION: - About 210 miles southeast of Mobile AL or about 170 miles southeast of Pensacola FL - 28.5N 85.6W - Storm Intensity 35 mph - Movement Northwest or 310 degrees at 3 mph SITUATION OVERVIEW ------------------ Tropical Depression Two, located about 120 miles south of Panama City Florida, is expected to strengthen into a tropical storm later today. The system is forecast to move across the far offshore Alabama and western Florida panhandle coastal waters Tuesday into Tuesday night then continue west of the area on Wednesday. Impacts associated with this system are still likely to remain focused close to the immediate coast and offshore. A Storm Surge Watch is now in effect for the Alabama coast for storm surge heights of 2 to 4 feet during periods of high tide Wednesday and Thursday mornings. Storm surge values of 1 to 3 feet are possible along the coast of the western Florida panhandle. While there are uncertainties in the ultimate track and intensity of this system, dangerous surf and beach conditions are expected. A high risk of deadly rip currents is in effect from tonight through much of the week. Surf heights across the Gulf facing beaches could exceed 10 feet Tuesday night into Wednesday. Tropical storm force winds will be possible, primarily along the immediate coast, Tuesday into Wednesday. While most of the heavy rain is forecast to remain offshore, locally heavy rainfall is possible across the coastal counties in any outer bands that move ashore. POTENTIAL IMPACTS ----------------- * COASTAL HAZARDS: Dangerous surf and beach conditions are expected. A high risk of deadly rip currents is forecast beginning tonight, persisting through much of the week. Surf heights across the Gulf facing beaches could exceed 10 feet Tuesday night into Wednesday. * SURGE: Prepare for life-threatening surge having possible significant impacts across coastal Alabama. Potential impacts in this area include: - Areas of inundation with storm surge flooding accentuated by waves. Damage to several buildings, mainly near the coast. - Sections of near-shore escape routes and secondary roads become weakened or washed out, especially in usually vulnerable low spots. - Major beach erosion with heavy surf breaching dunes. Strong and numerous rip currents. - Moderate damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks, and piers. Several small craft broken away from moorings, especially in unprotected anchorages. Limited impacts are possible along the coast of the western Florida panhandle. * WIND: Prepare for hazardous wind having possible limited impacts across immediate coastal areas of Alabama and the western Florida Panhandle. Potential impacts in this area include: - Damage to porches, awnings, carports, sheds, and unanchored mobile homes. Unsecured lightweight objects blown about. - Many large tree limbs broken off. A few trees snapped or uprooted, but with greater numbers in places where trees are shallow rooted. Some fences and roadway signs blown over. - A few roads impassable from debris, particularly within urban or heavily wooded places. Hazardous driving conditions on bridges and other elevated roadways. - Scattered power and communications outages. Elsewhere across portions of southwest Alabama...northwest Florida...south central Alabama...and inland southeast Mississippi, little to no impact is anticipated. * FLOODING RAIN: Prepare for locally hazardous rainfall flooding having possible limited impacts across coastal Alabama and the northwest Florida Panhandle. Potential impacts include: - Localized rainfall flooding may prompt a few evacuations. - Rivers and tributaries may quickly rise with swifter currents. Small streams, creeks, canals, and ditches may become swollen and overflow in spots. - Flood waters can enter a few structures, especially in usually vulnerable spots. A few places where rapid ponding of water occurs at underpasses, low-lying spots, and poor drainage areas. Several storm drains and retention ponds become near-full and begin to overflow. Some brief road and bridge closures. Elsewhere across portions of southwest Alabama...northwest Florida...south central Alabama...and inland southeast Mississippi, little to no impact is anticipated. * TORNADOES: Little to no impacts are anticipated at this time across portions of southwest Alabama...northwest Florida...south central Alabama...and inland southeast Mississippi.. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS ---------------------------------- * EVACUATIONS: Follow the advice of local officials. * OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION: Now is the time to check your emergency plan and emergency supplies kit and take necessary actions to protect your family and secure your home or business. When making safety and preparedness decisions, do not focus on the exact forecast track since hazards such as flooding rain, damaging wind gusts, storm surge, and tornadoes extend well away from the center of the storm. If you are a visitor, know the name of the county or parish in which you are located and where it is relative to current watches and warnings. If staying at a hotel, ask the management staff about their onsite disaster plan. Listen for evacuation orders, especially pertaining to area visitors. Closely monitor weather.gov, NOAA Weather Radio and local news outlets for official storm information. Listen for possible changes to the forecast. * ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION: - For the latest detailed evacuation and shelter information...please refer to your local emergency management agency at the phone number or website listed below. - Coastal Alabama: - Baldwin County: 251-972-6807 or www.baldwincountyal.gov/departments/EMA - Mobile County: 251-460-8000 or mobilecountyema.gov - Northwest Florida: - Escambia County: 850-471-6400 or myescambia.com/beready - Santa Rosa County: 850-983-5360 www.santarosa.fl.gov/emergency - Okaloosa County: 850-651-7150 or myokaloosa.com/emergency-management - For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov - For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org NEXT UPDATE ----------- The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather Service in Mobile AL around 4 PM CDT, or sooner if conditions warrant.
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WHAT: For the High Rip Current Risk, dangerous rip currents expected. For the High Surf Warning, dangerously large breaking waves up to around 10 feet expected in the surf zone.
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WHERE: Escambia Coastal, Santa Rosa Coastal and Okaloosa Coastal Counties.
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WHEN: For the High Rip Current Risk, from 7 PM CDT this evening through late Thursday night. For the High Surf Warning, from 1 PM Tuesday to 6 AM CDT Thursday.
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IMPACTS: Breaking waves can sweep people off jetties and docks, and into dangerous seas. Life-threatening swimming conditions and significant beach erosion can be expected. Rip currents can sweep even the best swimmers away from shore into deeper water.
* WHAT...For the High Rip Current Risk, dangerous rip currents expected. For the High Surf Warning, dangerously large breaking waves up to around 10 feet expected in the surf zone. * WHERE...Escambia Coastal, Santa Rosa Coastal and Okaloosa Coastal Counties. * WHEN...For the High Rip Current Risk, from 7 PM CDT this evening through late Thursday night. For the High Surf Warning, from 1 PM Tuesday to 6 AM CDT Thursday. * IMPACTS...Breaking waves can sweep people off jetties and docks, and into dangerous seas. Life-threatening swimming conditions and significant beach erosion can be expected. Rip currents can sweep even the best swimmers away from shore into deeper water.
Everyone should remain out of the water due to life-threatening surf conditions. Stay off of jetties, piers, and other waterside infrastructure. Swim near a lifeguard. If caught in a rip current, relax and float. Don't swim against the current. If able, swim in a direction following the shoreline. If unable to escape, face the shore and call or wave for help.
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LOCATIONS AFFECTED
- Pensacola
- Pensacola Beach
- Perdido Bay
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WIND
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LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Below tropical storm force wind
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Peak Wind Forecast: 20-30 mph with gusts to 35 mph
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THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for wind 39 to 57 mph
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The wind threat has remained nearly steady from the previous assessment.
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PLAN: Plan for hazardous wind of equivalent tropical storm force.
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PREPARE: Efforts to protect property should now be underway. Prepare for limited wind damage.
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ACT: Act now to complete preparations before the wind becomes hazardous.
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POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Limited
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Damage to porches, awnings, carports, sheds, and unanchored mobile homes. Unsecured lightweight objects blown about.
-
Many large tree limbs broken off. A few trees snapped or uprooted, but with greater numbers in places where trees are shallow rooted. Some fences and roadway signs blown over.
-
A few roads impassable from debris, particularly within urban or heavily wooded places. Hazardous driving conditions on bridges and other elevated roadways.
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Scattered power and communications outages.
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STORM SURGE
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LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Localized storm surge possible
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Peak Storm Surge Inundation: The potential for up to 2 feet above ground somewhere within surge prone areas
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Window of concern: Begins Wednesday morning
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THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for storm surge flooding greater than 1 foot above ground
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The storm surge threat has remained nearly steady from the previous assessment.
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PLAN: Plan for storm surge flooding greater than 1 foot above ground.
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PREPARE: Efforts should now be underway to prepare for storm surge flooding, especially in low-lying vulnerable areas.
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ACT: Take actions to protect life and property. Prepare to leave if evacuation orders are given for your area.
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POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Limited
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Localized inundation with storm surge flooding mainly along immediate shorelines and in low-lying spots, or in areas farther inland near where higher surge waters move ashore.
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Sections of near-shore roads and parking lots become overspread with surge water. Driving conditions dangerous in places where surge water covers the road.
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Moderate beach erosion. Heavy surf also breaching dunes, mainly in usually vulnerable locations. Strong rip currents.
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Minor to locally moderate damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks, and piers. A few small craft broken away from moorings.
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FLOODING RAIN
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LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:
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Peak Rainfall Amounts: Additional around 1 inch
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THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for localized flooding rain
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The flooding rain threat has remained nearly steady from the previous assessment.
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PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for localized flooding from heavy rain.
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PREPARE: Consider protective actions if you are in an area vulnerable to flooding.
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ACT: Heed any flood watches and warnings.
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POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Limited
-
Localized rainfall flooding may prompt a few evacuations.
-
Rivers and tributaries may quickly rise with swifter currents. Small streams, creeks, canals, and ditches may become swollen and overflow in spots.
-
Flood waters can enter a few structures, especially in usually vulnerable spots. A few places where rapid ponding of water occurs at underpasses, low-lying spots, and poor drainage areas. Several storm drains and retention ponds become near-full and begin to overflow. Some brief road and bridge closures.
-
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TORNADO
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LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:
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Situation is unfavorable for tornadoes
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THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Tornadoes not expected
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The tornado threat has remained nearly steady from the previous assessment.
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PLAN: Tornadoes are not expected. Showers and thunderstorms with gusty winds may still occur.
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PREPARE: Little to no preparations needed to protect against tornadoes at this time. Keep informed of the latest tornado situation.
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ACT: Listen for changes in the forecast.
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POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Little to None
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Little to no potential impacts from tornadoes.
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FOR MORE INFORMATION:
- For evacuation and shelter information, please refer to:
- Escambia County EMA: 850-471-6400 or myescambia.com/beready
- For storm surge threat graphics and other storm impacts:
- NWS Mobile: https://www.weather.gov/mob
* LOCATIONS AFFECTED - Pensacola - Pensacola Beach - Perdido Bay * WIND - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Below tropical storm force wind - Peak Wind Forecast: 20-30 mph with gusts to 35 mph - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for wind 39 to 57 mph - The wind threat has remained nearly steady from the previous assessment. - PLAN: Plan for hazardous wind of equivalent tropical storm force. - PREPARE: Efforts to protect property should now be underway. Prepare for limited wind damage. - ACT: Act now to complete preparations before the wind becomes hazardous. - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Limited - Damage to porches, awnings, carports, sheds, and unanchored mobile homes. Unsecured lightweight objects blown about. - Many large tree limbs broken off. A few trees snapped or uprooted, but with greater numbers in places where trees are shallow rooted. Some fences and roadway signs blown over. - A few roads impassable from debris, particularly within urban or heavily wooded places. Hazardous driving conditions on bridges and other elevated roadways. - Scattered power and communications outages. * STORM SURGE - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Localized storm surge possible - Peak Storm Surge Inundation: The potential for up to 2 feet above ground somewhere within surge prone areas - Window of concern: Begins Wednesday morning - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for storm surge flooding greater than 1 foot above ground - The storm surge threat has remained nearly steady from the previous assessment. - PLAN: Plan for storm surge flooding greater than 1 foot above ground. - PREPARE: Efforts should now be underway to prepare for storm surge flooding, especially in low-lying vulnerable areas. - ACT: Take actions to protect life and property. Prepare to leave if evacuation orders are given for your area. - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Limited - Localized inundation with storm surge flooding mainly along immediate shorelines and in low-lying spots, or in areas farther inland near where higher surge waters move ashore. - Sections of near-shore roads and parking lots become overspread with surge water. Driving conditions dangerous in places where surge water covers the road. - Moderate beach erosion. Heavy surf also breaching dunes, mainly in usually vulnerable locations. Strong rip currents. - Minor to locally moderate damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks, and piers. A few small craft broken away from moorings. * FLOODING RAIN - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: - Peak Rainfall Amounts: Additional around 1 inch - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for localized flooding rain - The flooding rain threat has remained nearly steady from the previous assessment. - PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for localized flooding from heavy rain. - PREPARE: Consider protective actions if you are in an area vulnerable to flooding. - ACT: Heed any flood watches and warnings. - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Limited - Localized rainfall flooding may prompt a few evacuations. - Rivers and tributaries may quickly rise with swifter currents. Small streams, creeks, canals, and ditches may become swollen and overflow in spots. - Flood waters can enter a few structures, especially in usually vulnerable spots. A few places where rapid ponding of water occurs at underpasses, low-lying spots, and poor drainage areas. Several storm drains and retention ponds become near-full and begin to overflow. Some brief road and bridge closures. * TORNADO - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: - Situation is unfavorable for tornadoes - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Tornadoes not expected - The tornado threat has remained nearly steady from the previous assessment. - PLAN: Tornadoes are not expected. Showers and thunderstorms with gusty winds may still occur. - PREPARE: Little to no preparations needed to protect against tornadoes at this time. Keep informed of the latest tornado situation. - ACT: Listen for changes in the forecast. - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Little to None - Little to no potential impacts from tornadoes. * FOR MORE INFORMATION: - For evacuation and shelter information, please refer to: - Escambia County EMA: 850-471-6400 or myescambia.com/beready - For storm surge threat graphics and other storm impacts: - NWS Mobile: www.weather.gov/mob
From 19/07/2026 to 19/07/2026, a Tropical Depression (maximum wind speed of 93 km/h) TWO-26 was active in Atlantic. The cyclone affects these countries: United States (vulnerability Low). Estimated population affected by category 1 (120 km/h) wind speeds or higher is 0 (0 in tropical storm).
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