A tropical cyclone will affect the locality. Winds of 39-61 kph or intermittent rains may be expected within 36 hours. THE LOW PRESSURE AREA EAST OF SOUTHEASTERN LUZON HAS DEVELOPED INTO TROPICAL DEPRESSION “KIYAPO” Location of eye/center : The center of Tropical Depression KIYAPO was estimated based on all available data at at 1,080 km East of Southeastern Luzon (14.8, 131.7). Strength : Maximum winds of 45 kph near the centerand gustiness of up to 55 kph. Forecast movement : Forecast to move Northwestward at 25 kph Forecast position : Jul 23, 2026 08:00 AM - 800 km East of Casiguran, Aurora Jul 23, 2026 08:00 PM - 575 km East of Echague, Isabela Jul 24, 2026 08:00 AM - 305 km East of Aparri, Cagayan Jul 24, 2026 08:00 PM - Over the coastal waters of Calayan, Cagayan Jul 25, 2026 08:00 AM - 260 km West of Basco, Batanes Jul 25, 2026 08:00 PM - 455 km West of Itbayat, Batanes (OUTSIDE PAR) Jul 26, 2026 08:00 PM - 815 km West Northwest of Extreme Northern Luzon or in the vicinity of Guangdong Province, China (OUTSIDE PAR) Jul 27, 2026 08:00 PM - 1,175 km Northwest of Extreme Northern Luzon in the vicinity of Hunan, China (OUTSIDE PAR) HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND AREAS Heavy Rainfall Outlook Refer to Weather Advisory No. 7 issued at 11:00 PM today for the heavy rainfall outlook due to TC KIYAPO and the Southwest Monsoon. Severe Winds The wind signals warn the public of the general wind threat over an area due to the tropical cyclone. Local winds may be slightly stronger/enhanced in coastal and upland/mountainous areas exposed to winds. Winds are less strong in areas sheltered from the prevailing wind direction. Minimal to minor impacts from strong winds are possible within any of the areas under Wind Signal No. 1. The highest Wind Signal that may be hoisted throughout KIYAPO’s passage is Wind Signal No. 2 or 3. The Southwest Monsoon and the periphery of KIYAPO will bring strong to gale-force gusts over the following areas (especially in coastal and upland areas exposed to winds): Today: Sarangani, Davao Occidental, and Davao Oriental. Tomorrow (23 July): Most of Mindanao, Siquijor, Bohol, and Southern Leyte Friday (24 July): Most of the country HAZARDS AFFECTING COASTAL WATERS A Gale Warning may be issued tomorrow over the seaboards of Extreme Northern Luzon. 24-Hour Sea Condition Outlook Up to rough seas over the following coastal waters: Up to 3.0 m: The southeastern seaboard of Davao Oriental. Mariners of small seacrafts, including all types of motorbancas, are advised not to venture out to sea under these conditions, especially if inexperienced of operating ill-equipped vessels. Up to moderate to rough seas over the following coastal waters: Up to 2.5 m: The southern and remaining eastern seaboards of Davao Oriental Up to 2.0 m: The seaboards of Davao Occidental and Surigao del Sur. Mariners of motorbancas and similarly sized vessels are advised to take precautionary measures while venturing out to sea and, if possible, avoid navigation under these conditions. Other coastal waters have forecast wave heights of less than 2.0 m. TRACK AND INTENSITY OUTLOOK It must be emphasized that heavy rainfall and severe winds may still be experienced in localities outside the landfall point and the forecast confidence cone. Refer to “Other Hazards affecting Land Areas” for more details. Furthermore, the track may still shift within the limit of the forecast confidence cone. KIYAPO will move west northwestward to northwestward during the entire forecast period. It may make close approach or may make landfall over Babuyan Islands by Friday (24 July) evening. However, a landfall scenario over mainland Cagayan is not ruled out. Afterwards, it will emerge over the Luzon Strait and is forecast to exit the Philippine Area of Responsibility by Saturday (25 July) morning or noon. KIYAPO is forecast to gradually intensify while moving over the Philippine Sea and may reach tropical storm category by Friday. It will then continue to intensify as a tropical storm while traversing Extreme Northern Luzon and will strengthen further once it emerges over the Luzon Strait. Further intensification to severe tropical storm prior to its approach to Northern Luzon is not ruled out.
Considering these developments, the public and disaster risk reduction and management offices concerned are advised to take all necessary measures to protect life and property. Persons living in areas identified to be highly or very highly susceptible to these hazards are advised to follow evacuation and other instructions from local officials. For heavy rainfall warnings, thunderstorm/rainfall advisories, and other severe weather information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your local PAGASA Regional Services Division.
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