history+ for the future: Climate prediction

We have developed a new tool to access complex climate predictions in an easy-to-use way. These predictions are now available through our history+ interface.

Nowadays, many regions worldwide cope with challenges such as an increasing frequency of extreme air temperatures, storms, and flooding events resulting from heavy precipitation, or droughts. Due to climate change, such extreme events will occur more often in the future. This trend will increase the risk for economic damage and life threats caused by weather hazards.
Our climate prediction offers an easy summary of complex climate change simulations for any location on Earth, reaching until the year 2100, based on different emission scenarios of the IPCC report. These scenarios (also called "Representative Carbon Pathways" or "RCP") describe the likely increase in Earth surface temperatures depending on the volume of future carbon emissions, and can be summarised by months of the year, or future decades.


The climate predictions are available for the main variables temperature and precipitation.

Temperature predictions can be summarised as mean, as well as by number of  summer, heat, frost or ice days, tropical nights, heating or cooling days and more. The boxplots in the diagram show the variability within different time periods and represent typical and extreme meteorological years.
Furthermore, analyse the occurrence of average and extreme precipitation events can be analysed for different RCP scenarios and different time periods in the future.

You can select between monthly and yearly time aggregations and between different emission scenarios (RCPs). These emission scenarios are based on the data presented with the official 2021 IPCC report.

You can purchase access to our climate predictions through history+. The analysis is available for every point on Earth. A free version can be found for the city of Basel, Switzerland. If you already have a history+ subscription, the new analysis tool is added to your existing subscription free of charge.

We also offer customized solutions such as maps, analysis of other variables or other aggregations on demand. More information can be found on our product page or by writing us.

Comments

Posted on 2022-05-03 11:05:08 by willt

interesting!! would love to try this out but cant afford it. Anywho great feature, love meteo!!

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